Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos
Result
65:62
01/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 8
Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
99
Behinds
118
Kicks
194185
Handballs
175152
Disposals
369337
Frees For
3022
Frees Against
2230
Clearances Completed
3133
Marks
9077
Tackles
6760
Hitouts
2839

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (37 - 15)
  • 00:51, Perkins A. (G),
  • 04:07, Langford K. (G),
  • 07:03, Perkins A. (G),
  • 10:49, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 15:00, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 17:08, Maley F. (G),
  • 19:50, Martin N. (G),
  • 21:26, Konstanty J. (Behind),
  • 25:19, Hobbs B. (G),
  • 27:50, Caddy N. (G),
  • 29:36, Maley F. (Behind),
  • 32:28, Duursma Z. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
  • 04:14, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 06:07, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 06:50, Simpkin J. (G),
  • 11:25, Duursma Z. (Behind),
  • 22:53, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 25:37, Perkins A. (G),
  • 28:16, Gresham J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (8 - 32)
  • 01:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 01:55, Merrett Z. (Behind),
  • 06:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 07:44, McKercher C. (G),
  • 11:00, Larkey N. (G),
  • 15:38, Larkey N. (G),
  • 17:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:43, Simpkin J. (G),
  • 23:37, Caddy N. (G),
  • 26:26, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (10 - 8)
  • 02:26, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
  • 03:54, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 04:43, Kako I. (G),
  • 07:57, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 19:59, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:29, Duursma Z. (G),
  • 23:07, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 25:54, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
68.7%
North Melbourne Kangaroos
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essendon Bombers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Melbourne Kangaroos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)

    2.9
    (2.82)
    7.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
  • What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). North Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Essendon (votes: 1 - 50%). North Melbourne (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 100:83.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Essendon won 5.
    • Recent performances by Essendon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • North Melbourne has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • In this match, Essendon is a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1630:1384 (average 85.8:72.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Essendon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1088:929 (average 90.7:77.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos 106:66
    11.08.2023 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Essendon Bombers 77:86
    04.06.2023 Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos 105:99
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    Latest results of North Melbourne Kangaroos
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2217052165:1535141.0468
    2Geelong Cats2216062322:1650140.7364
    3Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    4Collingwood Magpies2215071909:1551123.0860
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2114071953:1611121.2356
    10Sydney Swans22110111727:185193.3044
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2280141634:206978.9832
    14Melbourne Demons2270151826:195693.3528
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2251161705:225275.7122
    17Richmond Tigers2250171385:209466.1420
    18West Coast Eagles2210211415:232060.994

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