Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos
Result
65:62
01/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 8
Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
99
Behinds
118
Kicks
194185
Handballs
175152
Disposals
369337
Frees For
3022
Frees Against
2230
Clearances Completed
3133
Marks
9077
Tackles
6760
Hitouts
2839

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (37 - 15)
  • 00:51, Perkins A. (G),
  • 04:07, Langford K. (G),
  • 07:03, Perkins A. (G),
  • 10:49, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 15:00, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 17:08, Maley F. (G),
  • 19:50, Martin N. (G),
  • 21:26, Konstanty J. (Behind),
  • 25:19, Hobbs B. (G),
  • 27:50, Caddy N. (G),
  • 29:36, Maley F. (Behind),
  • 32:28, Duursma Z. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
  • 04:14, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 06:07, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 06:50, Simpkin J. (G),
  • 11:25, Duursma Z. (Behind),
  • 22:53, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 25:37, Perkins A. (G),
  • 28:16, Gresham J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (8 - 32)
  • 01:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 01:55, Merrett Z. (Behind),
  • 06:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 07:44, McKercher C. (G),
  • 11:00, Larkey N. (G),
  • 15:38, Larkey N. (G),
  • 17:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:43, Simpkin J. (G),
  • 23:37, Caddy N. (G),
  • 26:26, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (10 - 8)
  • 02:26, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
  • 03:54, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 04:43, Kako I. (G),
  • 07:57, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 19:59, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:29, Duursma Z. (G),
  • 23:07, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 25:54, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
68.7%
North Melbourne Kangaroos
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essendon Bombers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Melbourne Kangaroos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)

    2.9
    (2.82)
    7.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
  • What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). North Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Essendon (votes: 1 - 50%). North Melbourne (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 100:83.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Essendon won 5.
    • Recent performances by Essendon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • North Melbourne has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • In this match, Essendon is a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1630:1384 (average 85.8:72.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Essendon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1088:929 (average 90.7:77.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos 106:66
    11.08.2023 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Essendon Bombers 77:86
    04.06.2023 Essendon Bombers - North Melbourne Kangaroos 105:99
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    Latest results of North Melbourne Kangaroos
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Western Bulldogs1610061716:1288133.2340
    5Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    6Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    7Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

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