Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 30
Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	3.26
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
5	7
Big Chances
0	7
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
89% (488/550)	71% (172/241)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	3.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	3.32
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	7
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
26	20
Through passes
0% (0/1)	100% (4/4)
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
89% (488/550)	71% (172/241)
Long passes
64% (29/45)	31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
82% (153/186)	66% (56/85)
Crosses
13% (5/39)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	1.38
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
64% (7/11)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
41	34
Clearances Total
20	47
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
3.32	0.98
Goals prevented
-0.68	0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Cabrera L. ⚽, Exposito (A),
16', 0 - 2, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽, Puado J. (A),
28', Chavarria P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez A. ↓, Pacha ↑,
46', Nteka R. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
55', Lozano P. 🟨,
56', Roca A. ↓, Calero F. ↑,
64', Lozano P. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
70', Ciss P. 🟨,
72', 0 - 3, Puado J. (Pen),
75', Chavarria P. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
75', Lopez U. ↓, de Tomas R. ↑,
83', Puado J. ↓, Jofre ↑,
83', Exposito ↓, Aguado A. ↑,
83', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
85', Ciss P. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
87', Milla P. 🟨,
90', 0 - 4, Milla P. ⚽, Aguado A. (A),

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
56.8%

Draw
26.8%

Espanyol
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

25.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	3.6 ↓ (3.64)	5.86 ↑ (5.3)	3.6% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Espanyol will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 50.6% – 82.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Espanyol (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Espanyol: Catala J. (Knee Injury) Gragera J. (Foot Injury) Olivan B. (Calf Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:30 (average 1.5:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Espanyol?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Espanyol won against Rayo Vallecano?

Espanyol has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol were as follows:

31.08.2024 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 2:1

21.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:2

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Espanyol

29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Mallorca - Espanyol 2:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Espanyol - Girona 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Espanyol 0:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	3Cat, DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, Esport3, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, TeleMadrid, TV3, TV3
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia