Hillerød vs Esbjerg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Danish 1 Division Hillerød - Esbjerg
Result
3:0
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1st Division - Round 9
Hillerød - Esbjerg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.28
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
00
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.04
Total shots
159
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
00
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
30
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
00
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.69
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Duels won
00
Clearances
00
Interceptions
00
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.042.04
Goals prevented
0.042.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Dedes V. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Justinussen A. , Mouritz M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 3 - 0, Jalaei S. ,
  • 61', Kallsberg P. , Sulemana H. ,
  • 66', Troelsen A. , Tjornelund P. ,
  • 66', Maden M. , Hansen M. ,
  • 66', Lucena J. , Kolawole J. ,
  • 74', Justinussen A. , Opoku S. ,
  • 78', Ankersen J. , Strandby N. ,
  • 78', Buus J. , Larsen E. ,
  • 84', Jalaei S. , Toftegaard H. ,
  • 84', Schmidt N. , Alicino A. ,
  • 84', Allen C. , Boje-Larsen L. ,

Chances of winning


Hillerød
60.4%
Draw
21.7%
Esbjerg
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 24.6% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hillerød's performance.
  • Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hillerød that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hillerød - Esbjerg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.19)
    6.29
    (3.83)
    8.1
    (2.9)
    -23.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Hillerød - Esbjerg?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Esbjerg will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ))
    • In recent matches, Hillerød has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Esbjerg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hillerød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hillerød won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - Esbjerg were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Hillerød - Esbjerg 1:2
    29.09.2024 Esbjerg - Hillerød 1:1
    Latest results of Hillerød
    29.08.2025 Kolding IF - Hillerød 0:0
    23.08.2025 Hillerød - HB Køge 3:1
    19.08.2025 Lyngby BK - Hillerød 1:2
    16.08.2025 Hillerød - Hobro 0:2
    09.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød 3:1
    Latest results of Esbjerg
    10.09.2025 Vejgaard - Esbjerg 1:2
    01.09.2025 Esbjerg - HB Køge 3:2
    24.08.2025 Hobro - Esbjerg 2:0
    19.08.2025 Esbjerg - Aalborg BK 1:0
    15.08.2025 B.93 Copenhagen - Esbjerg 1:5
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby1053220:101018
    2Horsens105329:4518
    3Hillerod1052316:14217
    4Hvidovre IF1044213:12116
    5Aarhus Fremad1043319:13615
    6Esbjerg1050512:14-215
    7Aalborg1042417:12514
    8Kolding IF1042412:10214
    9B.931032512:18-611
    10Koge1031611:19-810
    11Hobro102358:16-89
    12Middelfart1015410:17-78

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )

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