Esbjerg vs Aalborg BK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Danish 1 Division Esbjerg - Aalborg BK
Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1st Division - Round 6
  • Referee: Andersen N. (Den)
Esbjerg - Aalborg BK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.47
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
610
Passes
75% (284/379)85% (433/511)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.52
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
210
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
3524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
610
Passes
75% (284/379)85% (433/511)
Long passes
49% (32/65)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
66% (75/114)67% (81/121)
Crosses
47% (9/19)38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.48
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
106
Tackles
65% (11/17)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
2931
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.520.59
Goals prevented
0.52-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Borsting F. 🟨,
  • 33', Nielsen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucena J. , Brajanac M. ,
  • 46', Bomholt M. , Ross O. ,
  • 59', Ankersen J. , Maden M. ,
  • 59', Buus J. , Tjornelund P. ,
  • 63', Helenius N. , Maarup A. ,
  • 63', Borsting F. , Moller V. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Maden M. ,
  • 77', Bjur P. , Hansen M. ,
  • 83', Lausen A. , Stagaard T. ,
  • 85', Nielsen M. , Arnorsson N. ,

Chances of winning


Esbjerg
40.8%
Draw
25.7%
Aalborg BK
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 27% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 26.8% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esbjerg's performance.
  • Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esbjerg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Esbjerg - Aalborg BK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.65)
    3.62
    (3.45)
    2.76
    (2.44)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Aalborg BK?
  • Users Predictions: Esbjerg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esbjerg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 1.
    • Esbjerg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Aalborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Aalborg BK were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Esbjerg - Aalborg BK 0:2
    Latest results of Esbjerg
    15.08.2025 B.93 Copenhagen - Esbjerg 1:5
    09.08.2025 Esbjerg - Kolding IF 0:2
    06.08.2025 Marienlyst - Esbjerg 1:2
    02.08.2025 Middelfart - Esbjerg 0:1
    26.07.2025 Esbjerg - Hvidovre 2:1
    Latest results of Aalborg BK
    15.08.2025 Aalborg BK - Horsens 0:2
    10.08.2025 HB Køge - Aalborg BK 0:2
    06.08.2025 Vendsyssel - Aalborg BK 1:2
    01.08.2025 Aalborg BK - Hobro 1:1
    26.07.2025 Hillerød - Aalborg BK 2:2
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Horsens84318:3515
    2Kolding IF842212:8414
    3Hillerod842212:11114
    4Lyngby833212:9312
    5Esbjerg74039:8112
    6B.93832311:12-111
    7Hvidovre IF82429:11-210
    8Aarhus Fremad823313:1219
    9Hobro82337:9-29
    10Aalborg822410:12-28
    11Koge72148:12-47
    12Middelfart80539:13-45

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )

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