Result
2:1
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : 3. Liga - Round 3
- Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
12 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Total shots |
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18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
12 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Posselt J. X. ⚽, Kolgeci B. (A),
- 22', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 27', Fallmann P. 🟨,
- 29', Boujellab N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Riedel F. 🟨,
- 63', Seiffert M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 63', Fabisch J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 63', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 64', Posselt J. X. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Simnica L. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),
- 77', Ilic M. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
- 78', Barylla A. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Uhlmann E. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),
- 84', Kolgeci B. ↓, Rexhepi A. ↑,
- 86', Malone R. 🟨,
- 88', Zobel T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ehlers J. ↓, Seidel P. ↑,
- 90+3', Oltrogge J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue 52.5% | Draw 24.6% | TSV Havelse 22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TSV Havelse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.61) |
3.92 ↓ (3.98) |
4.25 ↓ (4.98) |
3.6% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Aue has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Havelse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Aue is the team to beat.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against TSV Havelse?
Erzgebirge Aue has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TSV Havelse won against Erzgebirge Aue?
TSV Havelse has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse were as follows:
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Duisburg | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Hoffenheim II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
3 | Munich 1860 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
4 | Wehen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Saarbrucken | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Mannheim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
7 | VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Viktoria Koln | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
9 | RW Essen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Stuttgart II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Hansa Rostock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Regensburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Alemannia Aachen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
15 | Aue | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
16 | Verl | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
17 | Ingolstadt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
18 | Ulm | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
19 | TSV Havelse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
20 | Schweinfurt | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
Germany | Magenta Sport |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |