Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 22
Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
58%	42%
Goal Attempts
29	16
Shots on Goal
20	12
Shots off Goal
9	4
Corner Kicks
10	4
Goalkeeper Saves
11	18
Free Kicks
16	11
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
10	12
Yellow Cards
3	4
Throw-ins
25	25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽, Kother D. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Sijaric O. ⚽, Majetschak E. (A),
24', Daferner C. 🟨,
24', Barylla A. 🟨,
31', Tashchy B. 🟨,
32', Daferner C. (Pen),
45+1', Casar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Hoti A. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Kother D. ⚽, Lemmer J. (A),
67', Fallmann P. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
74', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
74', Kother D. ↓, Baur M. ↑,
74', Kammerknecht C. ↓, Sterner J. ↑,
78', Tashchy B. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
78', Pepic M. ↓, Loune A. ↑,
78', Sijaric O. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
82', Barylla A. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,
83', Fabisch J. 🟨,
87', Menzel T. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,
90', Heise P. 🟨,
90+3', Bar M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
55.6%

Draw
22.9%

Erzgebirge Aue
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)	4.08 ↓ (4.32)	4.37 ↓ (5.2)	6.9% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 3.
Dynamo Dresden is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Aue is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Aue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Oehmichen J. (Injury) Sapina V. (Hamstring Injury) Sterner J. (Injury)
There will not play in Aue: Hoffmann T. (Illness) Kallenbach W. (Illness) Loune A. (Illness) Nkansah S. (Illness) Ozkan C. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Erzgebirge Aue?

Dynamo Dresden has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Dynamo Dresden?

Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:

23.08.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 2:0

18.02.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 2:1

24.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1

04.03.2023 Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0

28.08.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden 0:1

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

25.01.2025 Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden 1:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Viktoria Köln 2:3 ✺

21.12.2024 Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden 0:3 ✺

13.12.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue

25.01.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück 0:0 ✺

17.01.2025 Hannover II - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München 3:1 ✺

14.12.2024 Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue 4:6 ✺

07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0 ✺

German 3 Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arminia Bielefeld ✔	37	20	9	8	63:36	27	69
2	SG Dynamo Dresden ✔	37	19	10	8	68:40	28	67
3	Cottbus	37	18	8	11	63:50	13	62
4	Saarbrucken	37	17	11	9	57:46	11	62
5	Hansa Rostock	37	18	6	13	53:44	9	60
6	Viktoria Koln	37	17	5	15	55:48	7	56
7	RW Essen	37	16	7	14	54:53	1	55
8	Verl	37	14	12	11	59:55	4	54
9	Wehen	37	14	10	13	57:59	-2	52
10	Munich 1860	37	15	7	15	56:60	-4	52
11	Ingolstadt	37	13	12	12	68:62	6	51
12	Alemannia Aachen	37	12	14	11	43:42	1	50
13	Aue	37	15	4	18	51:64	-13	49
14	VfL Osnabruck	37	13	9	15	46:52	-6	48
15	Mannheim	37	11	13	13	43:44	-1	46
16	Stuttgart II	37	12	10	15	48:58	-10	46
17	Dortmund II	37	11	10	16	52:58	-6	43
18	Sandhausen ✔	37	9	8	20	49:65	-16	35
19	Hannover II ✔	37	8	10	19	49:69	-20	34
20	Unterhaching ✔	37	4	13	20	40:69	-29	25

      Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Arminia Bielefeld is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
SG Dynamo Dresden is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
Sandhausen is Relegated to
Hannover II is Relegated to
Unterhaching is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 7
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 7
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball