Independiente Medellín vs Envigado: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Envigado
Result
3:4
24/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
Independiente Medellín - Envigado - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.902.23
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
89% (367/414)65% (95/146)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.902.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.142.76
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
135
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
89% (367/414)65% (95/146)
Long passes
79% (27/34)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
79% (116/146)50% (29/58)
Crosses
22% (11/49)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.68
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1117
Tackles
56% (9/16)86% (6/7)
Duels won
5244
Clearances
1646
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.762.14
Goals prevented
-1.24-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', Angulo L. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Palacios D. , Arcila D. (A),
  • 18', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Arcila D. (Pen),
  • 39', Londono D. 🟥,
  • 42', Sandoval L. 🟨,
  • 44', Berrio F. 🟥,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Ortiz J. , Chaverra L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Garces J. , Gomez L. ,
  • 46', Garcia M. , Berrio L. ,
  • 54', Rodallega Y. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 54', Sandoval L. , Leon B. ,
  • 63', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 70', Berrio L. 🟥,
  • 71', Aguerre W. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Arcila D. (Pen),
  • 75', Diaz L. , Agron B. ,
  • 75', Murillo B. , Holguin J. ,
  • 76', Angulo L. , Palacio J. ,
  • 78', Ortiz J. , Palacios J. ,
  • 80', Palacio J. 🟨,
  • 83', Tovar A. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Fydriszewski F. (Pen),
  • 85', 2 - 4, Arcila D. ,
  • 89', Alvarado J. , Valencia J. ,
  • 89', 3 - 4, Fydriszewski F. (Pen),
  • 90', Arcila D. , Marulanda M. ,
  • 90+6', Agron B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Leon B. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/cbvjnnc9

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
69.8%
Draw
19.5%
Envigado
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.7% 19% 9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 13.9% 12.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Envigado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.3)
    4.83
    (4.91)
    8.82
    (9.99)
    4.7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Envigado?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
    • Ind Medellín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Envigado were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    14.11.2024 Independiente Medellín - Envigado 1:0
    28.04.2024 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    05.08.2023 Independiente Medellín - Envigado 1:0
    11.02.2023 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    Latest results of Envigado
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior431011:5610
    2Atl. Nacional42118:537
    3Fortaleza32104:227
    4Santa Fe41304:316
    5Deportes Tolima42024:406
    6Chico41216:515
    7Llaneros31202:115
    8Dep. Pasto21105:414
    9America De Cali21102:114
    10Envigado31114:404
    11Alianza31112:204
    12Pereira41124:5-14
    13La Equidad31112:3-14
    14Aguilas40223:5-22
    15Dep. Cali30211:3-22
    16Bucaramanga10101:101
    17Ind. Medellin30124:7-31
    18Once Caldas30124:7-31
    19U. Magdalena20111:4-31
    20Millonarios10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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