Result
3:4
24/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (367/414) | 65% (95/146) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (367/414) | 65% (95/146) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 79% (27/34) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (116/146) | 50% (29/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (11/49) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Angulo L. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Palacios D. ⚽, Arcila D. (A),
- 18', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Arcila D. (Pen),
- 39', Londono D. 🟥,
- 42', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 44', Berrio F. 🟥,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Ortiz J. ⚽, Chaverra L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Garces J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 54', Rodallega Y. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 54', Sandoval L. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
- 63', Leon B. 🟨,
- 70', Berrio L. 🟥,
- 71', Aguerre W. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 3, Arcila D. (Pen),
- 75', Diaz L. ↓, Agron B. ↑,
- 75', Murillo B. ↓, Holguin J. ↑,
- 76', Angulo L. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
- 78', Ortiz J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 80', Palacio J. 🟨,
- 83', Tovar A. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 3, Fydriszewski F. (Pen),
- 85', 2 - 4, Arcila D. ⚽,
- 89', Alvarado J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 4, Fydriszewski F. (Pen),
- 90', Arcila D. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
- 90+6', Agron B. 🟨,
- 90+8', Leon B. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/cbvjnnc9
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
69.8% | Draw
19.5% | Envigado
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2%)
Independiente Medellín - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.3) |
4.83 ↓
(4.91) |
8.82 ↓
(9.99) |
4.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Envigado?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
- Ind Medellín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Envigado?
Independiente Medellín has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Independiente Medellín?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Envigado were as follows:
09.02.2025
Envigado
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
14.11.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Envigado
1:0
28.04.2024
Envigado
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
05.08.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Envigado
1:0
11.02.2023
Envigado
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Envigado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Pereira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Dep. Cali | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Once Caldas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Medellín - Envigado?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
