Boyacá Chicó vs Envigado: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Independencia (Tunja).

: Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
Referee: Ponton E. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.44
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
83% (312/377)	68% (143/209)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.30	0.15
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
18	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
17	16
Passes
83% (312/377)	68% (143/209)
Long passes
56% (18/32)	24% (11/46)
Passes in final third
73% (75/103)	55% (34/62)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.58
Throw-ins
13	20
Fouls
16	17
Tackles
57% (4/7)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
33	36
Clearances
12	22
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.15	1.30
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Hernandez V. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
44', Ampudia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Palacios D. 🟨,
53', Camargo E. 🟨,
61', Camargo E. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
68', Escobar R. 🟨,
69', Torres C. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
70', Garces J. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
72', Londono E. 🟨,
82', Londono K. ↓, Arango W. ↑,
82', Molina J. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
85', Lopez E. 🟨,
87', Lopez E. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
89', Peralta E. 🟨,
89', Arcila D. 🟨,
90+11', 1 - 0, Lozano F. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2jpkwkpd

Chances of winning

Boyacá Chicó
39.6%

Draw
34.4%

Envigado
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boyacá Chicó's form might have worsened.

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Envigado's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boyacá Chicó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Envigado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Boyacá Chicó - Envigado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.71)	2.73 ↓ (3.35)	3.62 ↓ (4.9)	6.4% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Envigado?

The most likely score is 0:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 3.
Recent form of Boyacá Chicó has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Envigado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.
In this match, Boyacá Chicó is considered a favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Envigado?

Boyacá Chicó has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Boyacá Chicó?

Envigado has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Envigado were as follows:

18.08.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Envigado 0:0

01.02.2024 Envigado - Boyacá Chicó 2:0

01.09.2023 Boyacá Chicó - Envigado 1:0

18.03.2023 Envigado - Boyacá Chicó 0:1

Latest results of Boyacá Chicó

27.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2 ✺

16.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Boyacá Chicó 4:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Envigado

01.05.2025 Envigado - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Envigado - Unión Magdalena 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Envigado - Deportes Tolima 3:1 ✺

17.04.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Envigado - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	18	9	6	3	25:12	13	33
2	Atl. Nacional	17	9	5	3	32:15	17	32
3	Millonarios	17	9	4	4	23:13	10	31
4	Junior	17	8	7	2	20:11	9	31
5	Ind. Medellin	16	7	8	1	17:6	11	29
6	Santa Fe	17	7	6	4	23:16	7	27
7	Deportes Tolima	16	7	6	3	22:15	7	27
8	Once Caldas	16	8	2	6	19:18	1	26
9	Dep. Pasto	17	7	5	5	17:16	1	26
10	Dep. Cali	17	5	9	3	14:12	2	24
11	Alianza	17	6	5	6	14:18	-4	23
12	Pereira	17	5	7	5	18:19	-1	22
13	Bucaramanga	17	5	5	7	16:18	-2	20
14	Envigado	17	5	3	9	15:24	-9	18
15	Llaneros	17	5	2	10	16:22	-6	17
16	Fortaleza	17	4	5	8	10:22	-12	17
17	Chico	18	3	8	7	10:26	-16	17
18	Aguilas	17	1	9	7	11:17	-6	12
19	La Equidad	17	2	4	11	12:24	-12	10
20	U. Magdalena	16	0	8	8	12:22	-10	8

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Boyacá Chicó - Envigado?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America