Result
3:3
11/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 4
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Garces J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', 2 - 2, Osorio J. ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 2, Osorio J. ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 3, Arcila D. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2vys27hb
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
42.8% | Draw
33.6% | Envigado
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Envigado's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Envigado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Valledupar - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.68) |
2.72 ↓
(3.02) |
3.8 ↓
(5.98) |
8.7%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Envigado?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
- Alianza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Envigado has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Envigado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alianza might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Envigado?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Alianza Valledupar?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Envigado were as follows:
04.04.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Envigado
1:2
11.08.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Envigado
1:1
07.02.2024
Envigado
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
10.08.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Envigado
3:1
18.02.2023
Envigado
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Copa Table
First stageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Quindio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Envigado | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Aguilas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Barranquilla | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico F.C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Bogota | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Leones | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | La Equidad | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Colombia (Second stage: Quarter~finals)
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It is being streamed on various channels, including:
