Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Copa Alianza Valledupar - Envigado
Result
3:3
11/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 4
Alianza Valledupar - Envigado - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Torres E. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Garces J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', 2 - 2, Osorio J. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Osorio J. ,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Arcila D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2vys27hb

Official Live

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
42.8%
Draw
33.6%
Envigado
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 30.3% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 29.5% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.
  • Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Envigado's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Envigado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Valledupar - Envigado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.68)
    2.72
    (3.02)
    3.8
    (5.98)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Envigado?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
    • Alianza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Envigado has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Envigado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alianza might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Envigado were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 1:2
    11.08.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 1:1
    07.02.2024 Envigado - Alianza Valledupar 1:2
    10.08.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 3:1
    18.02.2023 Envigado - Alianza Valledupar 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Latest results of Envigado
    07.06.2025 Envigado - Barranquilla 2:1
    30.05.2025 Orsomarso - Envigado 0:1
    24.05.2025 Envigado - Llaneros SA 1:2
    16.05.2025 Millonarios - Envigado 1:0
    Colombian Copa Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga ✔ 32108:537
    2Quindio ✔ 42116:517
    3Chico31024:5-13
    4Dep. Cali31023:6-33
    5Boca Juniors31023:303


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Envigado32106:427
    2Aguilas32013:5-26
    3Alianza31209:545
    4Barranquilla31023:303
    5Orsomarso40133:7-41


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Pasto ✔ 32107:257
    2Atletico F.C31204:315
    3U. Magdalena31113:304
    4Llaneros31113:5-24
    5Real Santander40134:8-41


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pereira31204:225
    2Fortaleza31203:125
    3Bogota31112:3-14
    4La Equidad31023:5-23
    5Leones40314:5-13

          Promotion ~ Copa Colombia (Second stage: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Colombia (Second stage Quarter~finals)
    Quindio is Qualified for Copa Colombia (Second stage Quarter~finals)
    Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Copa Colombia (Second stage Quarter~finals)
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