Sweden W vs England W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Sweden W - England W
Result
2:3 penalties
17/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
Sweden W - England W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.50
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
59% (214/365)74% (398/536)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.50
xG on target (xGOT)
3.742.06
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
410
Shots inside the Box
1314
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3235
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
59% (214/365)74% (398/536)
Long passes
30% (27/91)45% (41/92)
Passes in final third
45% (63/140)63% (116/184)
Crosses
23% (5/22)25% (10/40)
Expected assists (xA)
1.731.21
Throw-ins
3951
Fouls
1518
Tackles
53% (9/17)48% (11/23)
Duels won
8483
Clearances
5032
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
2.063.74
Goals prevented
0.061.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Asllani K. ⚽, Blackstenius S. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Blackstenius S. ⚽, Zigiotti Olme J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', Lundkvist H. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
  • 70', Toone E. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
  • 70', Carter J. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
  • 70', Stanway G. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
  • 77', Asllani K. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
  • 78', Rolfo F. ↓, Janogy M. ↑,
  • 78', Hemp L. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Bronze L. ⚽, Kelly C. (A),
  • 81', 2 - 2, Agyemang M. ⚽,
  • 87', Agyemang M. 🟨,
  • 89', Zigiotti Olme J. 🟨,
  • 90', Kelly C. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 104', Walsh K. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
  • 106', Kaneryd J. ↓, Jakobsson S. ↑,
  • 106', Andersson J. ↓, Nilden A. ↑,
  • 106', Williamson L. ↓, Charles N. ↑,
  • 117', Blackstenius S. ↓, Blomqvist R. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Russo A. (Pen),
  • 1, Angeldal F. (Pen),
  • 2, James L. (Pen),
  • 2, Zigiotti Olme J. (Pen),
  • 3, Mead B. (Pen),
  • 3, Eriksson M. (Pen),
  • 4, Greenwood A. (Pen),
  • 4, Bjorn N. (Pen),
  • 5, Kelly C. (Pen),
  • 5, Falk J. (Pen),
  • 6, Clinton G. (Pen),
  • 6, Jakobsson S. (Pen),
  • 7, Bronze L. (Pen),
  • 7, Holmberg S. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Sweden W
32.2%		Draw
29.7%		England W
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 27.6% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 28.2% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sweden W's performance.
  • England W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and England W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden W than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sweden W that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for England W than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that England W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Sweden W - England W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.04 ↓
    (3.5)    		 3.34 ↓
    (3.42)    		 2.64 ↑
    (2.08)    		 0.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Sweden W - England W?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). England will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for England: 32.1% – 67.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sweden (votes: 2 - 40%). England (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 2.
    • Sweden has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, England has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • England is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sweden W - England W were as follows:
    16.07.2024 Sweden W - England W 0:0
    05.04.2024 England W - Sweden W 1:1
    Latest results of Sweden W
    12.07.2025 Sweden W - Germany W 4:1 ✺
    08.07.2025 Poland W - Sweden W 0:3 ✺
    04.07.2025 Denmark W - Sweden W 0:1 ✺
    26.06.2025 Norway W - Sweden W 0:2 ✺
    03.06.2025 Sweden W - Denmark W 6:1 ✺
    Latest results of England W
    13.07.2025 England W - Wales W 6:1 ✺
    09.07.2025 England W - Netherlands W 4:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 France W - England W 2:1 ✺
    29.06.2025 England W - Jamaica W 7:0
    03.06.2025 Spain W - England W 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sweden W - England W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, Sporty TV, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
    albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaORF 1
    belgiumBelgiumRTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
    bulgariaBulgariaBNT 3
    canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 4
    croatiaCroatiaHRT 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
    denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
    franceFranceTMC
    georgiaGeorgia1TV
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceERT 2
    hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    netherlandsNetherlandsNPO 1
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1
    norwayNorwayNRK 1, NRK TV
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandTVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
    spainSpainRTVE Play
    swedenSwedenSVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, Suspilne Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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