Emma Navarro vs Jelena Ostapenko: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Stuttgart Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko
Result
1:2
17/04/2025 at 13:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/8-finals
Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
46
1st Serve Percentage
64%59%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (40/60)67% (45/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (11/34)45% (21/47)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)78% (14/18)
1st Return Points Won
33% (22/67)33% (20/60)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (26/47)68% (23/34)
Break Points Converted
22% (4/18)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
54% (51/94)58% (66/114)
Return Points Won
42% (48/114)46% (43/94)
Total Points Won
48% (99/208)52% (109/208)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Emma Navarro
61.4%
Jelena Ostapenko
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emma Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emma Navarro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.44)

    2.45
    (2.78)
    5.5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Navarro will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 30.1%75.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jelena Ostapenko will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navarro is ranked WTA: 11. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Navarro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Navarro will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Emma Navarro
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Potapova A.Tauson C.2 : 1
    3Sasnovich A. (Q)Mertens E.0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (Q)Shnaider D. (8)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Bye
    6Maria T. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)1 : 2
    7Niemeier J. (WC)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 1
    8Lys E. (WC)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    10Alexandrova E.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    11Frech M.Errani S. (LL)2 : 1
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Navarro E. (7)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    14Ostapenko J.Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    15Vekic D.Fett J. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Potapova A.
    2Mertens E.Shnaider D. (8)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (4)Seidel E.2 : 0
    4Niemeier J.Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    6Frech M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (7)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    8Fett J.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    4Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    2Alexandrova E.Ostapenko J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
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