Manta vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

: Liga Pro - Round 22
Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.79
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
80% (364/454)	67% (167/248)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.43	2.99
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
33	25
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
21	11
Passes
80% (364/454)	67% (167/248)
Long passes
57% (29/51)	41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
63% (95/152)	52% (35/67)
Crosses
16% (5/31)	60% (9/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.79	1.66
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
11	21
Tackles
73% (11/15)	75% (15/20)
Duels won
63	57
Clearances
16	44
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
2.99	2.43
Goals prevented
-1.01	0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 4)
10', Aleman C. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Cueva C. (Pen),
13', 0 - 2, Barco A. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
40', 0 - 3, Castelli F. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
45+1', 0 - 4, Castillo Saa J. L. ⚽,
45+5', Angulo J. 🟨,
45+7', Cueva C. 🟨,
45+7', Madruga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Medina E. A. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
46', Cueva C. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
46', Madruga A. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
46', Chala J. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
57', 1 - 4, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
61', Mina J. 🟨,
62', Angulo J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Leon F. ↑,
67', Alman J. ↓, Bartora G. ↑,
70', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
73', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
79', Valencia D. 🟨,
82', 2 - 4, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
82', Ruiz J. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
89', Ortiz R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Manta
27%

Draw
29.5%

Emelec
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emelec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emelec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manta - Emelec Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.61)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	2.18 ↓ (2.63)	4.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Manta - Emelec?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 50%). Emelec (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.
Recent form of Manta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Emelec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Emelec?

Manta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Manta?

Emelec has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Emelec were as follows:

06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1

25.01.2025 Emelec - Manta 2:2

Latest results of Manta

21.07.2025 Libertad Loja - Manta 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2 ✺

06.07.2025 El Nacional - Manta 1:0 ✺

28.06.2025 Delfín - Manta 2:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Emelec

20.07.2025 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	22	13	7	2	42:19	23	46
2	LDU Quito	22	11	7	4	38:21	17	40
3	Barcelona SC	22	11	5	6	33:26	7	38
4	Orense	22	11	4	7	25:24	1	37
5	Aucas	22	10	5	7	30:27	3	35
6	Libertad	22	9	7	6	33:28	5	34
7	Dep. Cuenca	22	10	4	8	26:23	3	34
8	U. Catolica	22	8	7	7	38:29	9	31
9	Emelec	22	7	7	8	20:26	-6	28
10	Delfin	22	6	8	8	21:31	-10	26
11	EL Nacional	22	6	7	9	26:32	-6	25
12	Vinotinto	22	6	5	11	26:30	-4	23
13	Manta	22	5	8	9	29:38	-9	23
14	Macara	22	5	7	10	20:25	-5	22
15	Tecnico U	22	4	7	11	20:33	-13	19
16	Mushuc Runa	22	4	5	13	24:39	-15	17

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Manta - Emelec?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz