Emelec vs Libertad Loja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Libertad Loja
Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 8
Emelec - Libertad Loja - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.60
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
70% (237/337)75% (235/313)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.49
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1315
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
91
Free Kicks
248
Passes
70% (237/337)75% (235/313)
Long passes
40% (21/52)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
49% (54/110)73% (82/113)
Crosses
25% (4/16)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.66
Fouls
824
Tackles
70% (7/10)100% (11/11)
Duels won
6349
Clearances Total
2937
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.490.48
Goals prevented
-0.51-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Verges J. 🟨,
  • 20', Quinonez O. 🟨,
  • 30', Gonzalez A. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Quinonez J. , Corozo W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Corozo W. , Ayovi J. ,
  • 56', Munoz E. , Garces R. ,
  • 58', Quinonez A. , Monaga J. ,
  • 58', Verges J. , Avila D. ,
  • 58', Caicedo E. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Avila D. , Bardales W. (A),
  • 67', Montano J. 🟨,
  • 71', Solis M. , Jhon Sanchez ,
  • 78', Montano J. , Humanante J. ,
  • 82', Ayovi W. , Lastre E. ,
  • 87', Caicedo N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zambrano I. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Jhon Sanchez 🟨,

Chances of winning


Emelec
52.6%
Draw
26.4%
Libertad Loja
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 28.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 27.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Emelec - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.98)
    3.5
    (3.21)
    4.37
    (3.8)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Libertad Loja?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Emelec is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Libertad Loja - Emelec 2:1
    01.06.2024 Emelec - Libertad Loja 0:0
    04.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Emelec 0:0
    26.02.2023 Emelec - Libertad Loja 2:0
    Latest results of Emelec
    06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1
    29.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 1:1
    09.03.2025 Vinotinto - Emelec 2:1
    28.02.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Macará 0:0
    22.02.2025 Delfín - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle1594229:141531
    2Barcelona SC1492320:15529
    3Aucas1574422:16625
    4LDU Quito1465322:14823
    5Dep. Cuenca1572614:13123
    6Orense1572618:20-223
    7Vinotinto1564524:19522
    8U. Catolica1555524:19520
    9EL Nacional1554621:21019
    10Libertad1554619:20-119
    11Delfin1546512:20-818
    12Manta1537521:27-616
    13Emelec154479:18-916
    14Macara1536612:15-315
    15Mushuc Runa1543821:26-515
    16Tecnico U1524914:25-1110

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - Libertad Loja?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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