Emelec vs Libertad Loja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Libertad Loja
Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 8
Emelec - Libertad Loja - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.60
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
70% (237/337)75% (235/313)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.49
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1315
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
91
Free Kicks
248
Passes
70% (237/337)75% (235/313)
Long passes
40% (21/52)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
49% (54/110)73% (82/113)
Crosses
25% (4/16)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.66
Fouls
824
Tackles
70% (7/10)100% (11/11)
Duels won
6349
Clearances Total
2937
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.490.48
Goals prevented
-0.51-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Verges J. 🟨,
  • 20', Quinonez O. 🟨,
  • 30', Gonzalez A. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Quinonez J. , Corozo W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Corozo W. , Ayovi J. ,
  • 56', Munoz E. , Garces R. ,
  • 58', Quinonez A. , Monaga J. ,
  • 58', Verges J. , Avila D. ,
  • 58', Caicedo E. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Avila D. , Bardales W. (A),
  • 67', Montano J. 🟨,
  • 71', Solis M. , Jhon Sanchez ,
  • 78', Montano J. , Humanante J. ,
  • 82', Ayovi W. , Lastre E. ,
  • 87', Caicedo N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zambrano I. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Jhon Sanchez 🟨,

Chances of winning


Emelec
52.6%
Draw
26.4%
Libertad Loja
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 28.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 27.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Emelec - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.98)
    3.5
    (3.21)
    4.37
    (3.8)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Libertad Loja?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Emelec is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Libertad Loja - Emelec 2:1
    01.06.2024 Emelec - Libertad Loja 0:0
    04.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Emelec 0:0
    26.02.2023 Emelec - Libertad Loja 2:0
    Latest results of Emelec
    06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1
    29.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 1:1
    09.03.2025 Vinotinto - Emelec 2:1
    28.02.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Macará 0:0
    22.02.2025 Delfín - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona SC1181218:13525
    2Ind. del Valle1273223:111224
    3Aucas1364319:14522
    4Orense1362516:18-220
    5LDU Quito1154217:8919
    6Dep. Cuenca1361611:12-119
    7Vinotinto1253420:14618
    8Libertad1253418:17118
    9U. Catolica1245320:14617
    10Mushuc Runa1343618:21-315
    11Manta1335517:23-614
    12EL Nacional1334616:19-313
    13Emelec123458:14-613
    14Macara132569:13-411
    15Delfin122558:18-1011
    16Tecnico U1324711:20-910

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - Libertad Loja?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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