El Nacional vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Emelec
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
El Nacional - Emelec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


El Nacional
47.6%
Draw
28.5%
Emelec
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 28.1% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • El Nacional - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.93)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    3.88
    (3.96)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Emelec?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, El Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Emelec were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Emelec - El Nacional 0:1
    17.03.2024 El Nacional - Emelec 0:1
    16.09.2023 El Nacional - Emelec 1:1
    17.04.2023 Emelec - El Nacional 1:2
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of Emelec
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona SC1291220:13728
    2Ind. del Valle1383226:121427
    3Aucas1364319:14522
    4Orense1362516:18-220
    5LDU Quito1154217:8919
    6Dep. Cuenca1361611:12-119
    7Vinotinto1353521:17418
    8Libertad1253418:17118
    9U. Catolica1345420:15517
    10Mushuc Runa1343618:21-315
    11Manta1335517:23-614
    12Delfin133559:18-914
    13EL Nacional1334616:19-313
    14Emelec133468:16-813
    15Macara132569:13-411
    16Tecnico U1324711:20-910

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

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