El Nacional vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Emelec
Result
2:0
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 14
  • Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
El Nacional - Emelec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.45
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
235
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
88% (347/394)72% (138/192)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.08
Total shots
235
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
326
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
715
Passes
88% (347/394)72% (138/192)
Long passes
70% (30/43)32% (18/56)
Passes in final third
76% (99/131)42% (25/59)
Crosses
21% (4/19)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.24
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
157
Tackles
75% (6/8)83% (5/6)
Duels won
2935
Clearances
519
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.081.39
Goals prevented
0.08-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Reasco D. , Cela A. (A),
  • 10', Quinonez J. 🟥,
  • 13', Castelli F. 🟨,
  • 18', Castelli F. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Cela A. , Pazmino D. (A),
  • 35', Jhon Sanchez , Arroyo E. ,
  • 37', Flor F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Corozo W. , Solis M. ,
  • 57', Solis M. 🟨,
  • 62', Guisamano J. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 62', Flor F. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 64', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 78', Borja F. , Chala J. ,
  • 78', Cevallos J. , Maya J. ,
  • 79', Ruiz J. , Fragozo L. ,
  • 84', Reasco D. , Martinez F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


El Nacional
46%
Draw
28.9%
Emelec
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 28.1% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • El Nacional - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.93)
    3.21
    (3.31)
    3.72
    (3.96)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • El Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Emelec were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Emelec - El Nacional 0:1
    17.03.2024 El Nacional - Emelec 0:1
    16.09.2023 El Nacional - Emelec 1:1
    17.04.2023 Emelec - El Nacional 1:2
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of Emelec
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle18106234:161836
    2Barcelona SC18103530:23733
    3Dep. Cuenca18102622:15732
    4LDU Quito1886429:191030
    5Orense1893621:21030
    6Aucas1775524:20426
    7Delfin1867519:23-425
    8U. Catolica1866628:23524
    9Libertad1866627:25224
    10Vinotinto1764725:22322
    11EL Nacional1855822:28-620
    12Manta1848623:30-720
    13Macara1847714:17-319
    14Emelec1847713:22-919
    15Mushuc Runa18431122:35-1315
    16Tecnico U18261016:30-1412

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of El Nacional - Emelec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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