Result
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Emelec
53% | Draw
26.5% | El Nacional
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Emelec - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.89) |
3.52 ↑
(3.37) |
4.51 ↑
(4.02) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Emelec is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against El Nacional?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Emelec?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - El Nacional were as follows:
25.05.2025
El Nacional
-
Emelec
2:0
18.08.2024
Emelec
-
El Nacional
0:1
17.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Emelec
0:1
16.09.2023
El Nacional
-
Emelec
1:1
17.04.2023
Emelec
-
El Nacional
1:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 63 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Emelec | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Macara | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - El Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
