Result
1:1
29/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 0.91 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (301/392) | 75% (230/305) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 0.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.99 | 1.11 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
77% (301/392) | 75% (230/305) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (35/59) | 50% (32/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (86/136) | 68% (67/98) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (5/23) | 41% (7/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 0.70 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.11 | 1.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.11 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Castelli F. ⚽, Cevallos J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 47', Bagui Tobar D. O. 🟨,
- 59', Cevallos J. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
- 60', Quintero S. 🟨,
- 63', Tello M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 65', Cueva C. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
- 65', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Paz F. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez P. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 84', Ledesma A. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 90+2', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará 41.3% | Draw 30.1% | Emelec 28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Deportivo Macará - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↓ (2.39) |
3.06 ↓ (3.15) |
3.22 ↑ (3) |
8% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Macará will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Emelec?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Macará?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Emelec were as follows:
28.02.2025
Emelec
-
Deportivo Macará
0:0
09.11.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Emelec
1:1
18.05.2024
Emelec
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
6 | Aucas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
8 | U. Catolica | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Vinotinto | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 22 |
11 | EL Nacional | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 20 |
12 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Macara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
14 | Emelec | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
16 | Tecnico U | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Emelec?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |