Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca
11/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Emelec
49.5%
Draw
28.5%
Deportivo Cuenca
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 28.4% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.05)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    4.22
    (3.6)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 3.
    • Emelec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Cuenca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Emelec has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Emelec is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 0:1
    04.08.2024 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    02.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 1:2
    03.12.2023 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1
    18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 3:2
    Latest results of Emelec
    03.08.2025 Libertad Loja - Emelec 1:2
    30.07.2025 Miguel Iturralde - Emelec 1:2
    26.07.2025 Manta - Emelec 2:4
    20.07.2025 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 1:0
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle24148243:192450
    2LDU Quito24127540:231743
    3Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    4Aucas24115833:33038
    5Orense24115826:27-138
    6Libertad24107736:31537
    7U. Catolica2498745:321335
    8Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    9Emelec2387822:27-531
    10Delfin2369824:34-1027
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto23661129:33-424
    13Manta24591030:41-1124
    14Macara23581021:26-523
    15Tecnico U23571123:34-1122
    16Mushuc Runa24451526:43-1717

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

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