Barcelona Guayaquil vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec
Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 13
  • Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.47
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
79% (227/289)71% (184/260)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.36
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
79% (227/289)71% (184/260)
Long passes
36% (14/39)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
54% (38/71)52% (34/66)
Crosses
20% (3/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.02
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
2011
Tackles
90% (9/10)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3653
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.360.56
Goals prevented
0.36-1.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Rivero O. ,
  • 8', Mario Pineida 🟨,
  • 15', Meli M. 🟨,
  • 15', Arreaga X. 🟨,
  • 19', Contreras J. , De Arruabarrena I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Caicedo F. , Corozo J. ,
  • 56', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Rivero O. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez A. , Corozo W. ,
  • 64', Ruiz J. , Ayovi J. ,
  • 71', Meli M. 🟨,
  • 78', Mario Pineida , Cortez Casierra G. J. ,
  • 78', Oyola B. , Chala A. ,
  • 78', Castillo Segura B. D. , Valiente J. ,
  • 81', Jhon Sanchez , Garces R. ,
  • 83', Castelli F. , Solis M. ,
  • 84', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barcelona Guayaquil
55.7%
Draw
25.8%
Emelec
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 24.2% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 23.6% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.54)
    3.59
    (3.85)
    5.09
    (6.01)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona Guayaquil will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1
    20.10.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec 2:1
    28.04.2024 Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1
    12.11.2023 Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:0
    03.06.2023 Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec 1:3
    Latest results of Emelec
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2LDU Quito23127440:221843
    3Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    6Aucas23105832:33-135
    7U. Catolica2397744:311334
    8Libertad2397734:30434
    9Emelec2387822:27-531
    10Delfin2369824:34-1027
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto23661129:33-424
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta23581030:41-1123
    15Tecnico U23571123:34-1122
    16Mushuc Runa23451425:41-1617

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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