Elvas vs Lusitano GC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 3

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
3	8
Corner Kicks
6	5
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
0	0
Throw-ins
0	0
Fouls
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Lopes D. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Lopes D. ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, Lopes D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 4, Lopes M. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Elvas
26.3%

Draw
29.8%

Lusitano GC
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.9%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvas's form might have worsened.

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitano GC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitano GC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elvas - Lusitano GC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.78)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.09 ↓ (2.37)	9.3% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Elvas - Lusitano GC?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Recently, Lusitano GC has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elvas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Elvas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Elvas won against Lusitano GC?

Elvas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Elvas?

Lusitano GC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elvas - Lusitano GC were as follows:

24.03.2024 Lusitano GC - Elvas 1:1

10.12.2023 Elvas - Lusitano GC 1:1

Latest results of Elvas

04.05.2025 Fatima - Elvas 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Elvas - Amora 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Arronches Benfica - Elvas 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Elvas - Pombal 4:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Elvas - Fatima 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Lusitano GC

04.05.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Lusitano GC - Fatima 3:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Lusitano GC - Estrela da Amadora B 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Sintrense - Lusitano GC 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Lusitano GC - Louletano 1:0 ✺

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table

Promotion Group

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vitoria Guimaraes B	3	2	1	0	8:6	2	7
2	Paredes	3	1	2	0	5:3	2	5
3	Leca	3	1	0	2	2:4	-2	3
4	AD Marco 09	3	0	1	2	2:4	-2	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitano GC ✔	4	4	0	0	11:2	9	12
2	Amora	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
3	Fatima	4	1	0	3	3:7	-4	3
4	O Elvas CAD	4	0	2	2	3:8	-5	2

Promotion ~ Liga 3

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lusitano GC is Qualified for Liga 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Elvas - Lusitano GC?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: