Elmer Moeller vs Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Milan Challenger Men Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
Result
2:0
27/06/2024 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals
Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
56%56%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (25/32)45% (13/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (8/25)30% (7/23)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)33% (3/9)
1st Return Points Won
59% (17/29)28% (9/32)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (16/23)68% (17/25)
Break Points Converted
67% (6/9)67% (2/3)
Max Points In Row
97
Service Points Won
58% (33/57)40% (20/50)
Return Points Won
60% (30/50)42% (24/57)
Total Points Won
59% (63/107)41% (44/107)
Max Games In Row
72
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moeller
46.3%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.64)

    1.74
    (1.41)
    6.7%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Moeller is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Varillas Patino-Samudio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elmer Moeller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ramos A. (1)Bueno G.2 : 1
    2Vincent Ruggeri S.Vrbensky M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Gaio F. (Q)Gerasimov E.2 : 1
    4Gakhov I.Onclin G. (7)2 : 0
    5Kasnikowski M. (4)Alvarez Varona N. (PR)0 : 2
    6Demin Y.Gaubas V.0 : 2
    7Gomez F. A. (Q)Arnaboldi F. (Q)2 : 0
    8Picchione A. (WC)Sanchez Izquierdo N. (8)1 : 2
    9Dalla Valle E. (5)Buse I. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bourgue M.Fonio G. (Alt)1 : 2
    11Pacheco Mendez R.Mager G.1 : 2
    12Taberner C. (Q)Tseng C. H. (3)1 : 2
    13Barranco Cosano J. (6)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    14Cina F. (WC)Cecchinato M. (WC)0 : 2
    15Lamasine T.Moeller E.0 : 2
    16Debru G. (Q)Varillas J. P. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ramos A. (1)Vincent Ruggeri S.0 : 2
    2Gaio F.Gakhov I.0 : 2
    3Alvarez Varona N.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Gomez F. A.Sanchez Izquierdo N. (8)2 : 1
    5Dalla Valle E. (5)Fonio G. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Mager G.Tseng C. H. (3)0 : 2
    7Jianu F. C.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    8Moeller E.Varillas J. P. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Vincent Ruggeri S.Gakhov I.2 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Gomez F. A.0 : 2
    3Dalla Valle E. (5)Tseng C. H. (3)2 : 0
    4Jianu F. C.Moeller E. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Vincent Ruggeri S.Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    2Dalla Valle E. (5)Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Final
    1Gomez F. A.Jianu F. C.2 : 0
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