Elise Mertens vs Lulu Sun: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA US Open Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun
Result
2:0
27/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
74
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
66%56%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (28/38)54% (19/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)41% (11/27)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)44% (4/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
164 km/h164 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
133 km/h136 km/h
1st Return Points Won
46% (16/35)29% (11/38)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (16/27)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)20% (1/5)
Winners
1720
Unforced Errors
1526
Net Points Won
43% (3/7)62% (13/21)
Service Points Won
64% (35/55)50% (29/58)
Return Points Won
50% (29/58)36% (20/55)
Total Points Won
57% (64/113)43% (49/113)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)
Distance Covered (metres)
10701171

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
78.3%
Lulu Sun
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.
  • Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lulu Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lulu Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.35)

    4.4
    (3.5)
    4%
    (2.6%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Sun will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Sun is ranked WTA: 164.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mertens is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Latest results of Lulu Sun
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.
    6Hon P.Li A.
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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