Diana Shnaider vs Elise Mertens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Monterrey Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens
Result
2:1
21/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Monterrey, hard - Quarter-finals
Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
110
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
65%65%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (53/80)65% (49/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (19/43)51% (21/41)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
36% (27/75)38% (30/80)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (20/41)56% (24/43)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
58% (72/124)60% (70/116)
Return Points Won
40% (46/116)42% (52/124)
Total Points Won
49% (118/240)51% (122/240)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
52
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Diana Shnaider
41.9%
Elise Mertens
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diana Shnaider's form might have worsened.
  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.78)

    1.66
    (1.97)
    4.7%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Mertens will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 38.6%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 2 - 50%). Mertens (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shnaider is ranked WTA: 22. Mertens is ranked WTA: 21.
    • Recent form of Shnaider has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mertens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shnaider won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens 2:0
    16.04.2025 Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider 2:0
    28.02.2023 Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider 2:0
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Bye
    2Bucsa C. (Q)Parks A.0 : 2
    3Sramkova R.Rodriguez V. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cristian J.Fernandez L. (7)0 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (3)Bye
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Rakhimova K.0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (WC)Vekic D.0 : 2
    8Blinkova A.Mertens E. (5)0 : 2
    9Pavlyuchenkova A. (8)Ruzic A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Jeanjean L. (Q)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    12ByeHaddad Maia B. (4)
    13Noskova L. (6)Sun L. (Q)2 : 0
    14Bondar A.Maria T.0 : 2
    15Zarazua R.Tomljanovic A. (WC)1 : 2
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Parks A.1 : 2
    2Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (7)2 : 1
    3Shnaider D. (3)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    4Vekic D.Mertens E. (5)0 : 2
    5Ruzic A.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
    6Bouzkova M.Haddad Maia B. (4)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (6)Maria T.2 : 0
    8Tomljanovic A.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Parks A.Sramkova R.2 : 0
    2Shnaider D. (3)Mertens E. (5)2 : 1
    3Ruzic A.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    4Noskova L. (6)Alexandrova E. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Parks A.Shnaider D. (3)0 : 2
    2Bouzkova M. (RET.)Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 1

    Final
    1Shnaider D. (3)Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 1
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