Elias Ymer vs Luciano Darderi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Bastad Elias Ymer - Luciano Darderi
Result
0:2
16/07/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals
Elias Ymer - Luciano Darderi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
28
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
61%54%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (17/30)74% (20/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (9/19)70% (16/23)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
26% (7/27)43% (13/30)
2nd Return Points Won
30% (7/23)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)44% (4/9)
Winners
1819
Unforced Errors
2214
Net Points Won
67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
53% (26/49)72% (36/50)
Return Points Won
28% (14/50)47% (23/49)
Total Points Won
40% (40/99)60% (59/99)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
25.2%
Luciano Darderi
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 70.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.
  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Elias Ymer - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (2.73)

    1.27
    (1.38)
    5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Darderi will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 71.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 264. Darderi is ranked ATP: 55.
    • In recent matches, Ymer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Darderi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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