Elfsborg vs Malmö: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Elfsborg - Malmö
Result
2:2
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 23
  • Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
Elfsborg - Malmö - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.74
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
83% (355/426)88% (477/540)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.591.41
Total shots
412
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
83% (355/426)88% (477/540)
Long passes
57% (35/61)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
64% (84/132)69% (59/86)
Crosses
23% (5/22)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.81
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
1213
Tackles
79% (15/19)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.410.59
Goals prevented
-0.59-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen D. T. (Pen),
  • 30', Sigurdsson A. , Ali T. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Gudjohnsen D. T. , Bolin H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Hedlund S. 🟨,
  • 54', Holmen S. , Rapp G. ,
  • 66', Ostman L. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 66', Zeneli A. , Silverholt T. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Zeneli B. , Rapp G. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 2, Wikstrom R. ,
  • 78', Gudjohnsen D. T. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 78', Haksabanovic S. , Ekong E. ,
  • 84', Johnsen L. , Holmquist S. ,
  • 88', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zeneli B. , Ihler F. ,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
23.8%
Draw
25.9%
Malmö
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 26.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.6% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Elfsborg - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.12
    (3.48)
    3.76
    (3.53)
    1.93
    (2.04)
    2.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Malmö?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Malmö will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
    • Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Malmö is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elfsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Malmö will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Malmö: Jansson P. (Muscle Injury) Rosler C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Malmö were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 2:1
    10.03.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 1:0
    28.05.2024 Malmö - Elfsborg 2:1
    05.05.2024 Elfsborg - Malmö 3:1
    12.11.2023 Malmö - Elfsborg 1:0
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    30.08.2025 Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg 3:0
    24.08.2025 Elfsborg - Halmstad 1:2
    20.08.2025 Haninge - Elfsborg 0:1
    16.08.2025 Norrköping - Elfsborg 2:1
    11.08.2025 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:2
    Latest results of Malmö
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    28.08.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Malmö 0:2
    24.08.2025 Malmö - IFK Göteborg 0:0
    21.08.2025 Malmö - Sigma Olomouc 3:0
    16.08.2025 Halmstad - Malmö 0:4
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby23175143:162756
    2Hammarby23144545:242146
    3AIK23127430:201043
    4Goteborg23132833:28541
    5Malmo FF23109436:201639
    6GAIS23108533:231038
    7Elfsborg23114839:34537
    8Djurgarden2398631:23835
    9Brommapojkarna23821336:37-126
    10Sirius23751135:36-126
    11Hacken23751133:40-726
    12Norrkoping23751134:44-1026
    13Halmstad23641318:43-2522
    14Oster23561221:34-1321
    15Degerfors23441521:45-2416
    16Varnamo23261526:47-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Elfsborg - Malmö?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play
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