Result
2:1
11/08/2025 at 21:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Aces |
---|
11 | 11 |
Double Faults |
---|
10 | 2 |
1st Serve Percentage |
---|
57% | 58% |
1st Serve Points Won |
---|
86% (48/56) | 76% (38/50) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
---|
44% (19/43) | 44% (16/36) |
Break Points Saved |
---|
67% (4/6) | 63% (5/8) |
1st Return Points Won |
---|
24% (12/50) | 20% (11/56) |
2nd Return Points Won |
---|
56% (20/36) | 56% (24/43) |
Break Points Converted |
---|
38% (3/8) | 33% (2/6) |
Service Points Won |
---|
68% (67/99) | 63% (54/86) |
Return Points Won |
---|
37% (32/86) | 32% (32/99) |
Total Points Won |
---|
54% (99/185) | 46% (86/185) |
Last 10 Balls |
---|
9 | 1 |
Match Points Saved |
---|
0 | 0 |
Service Games Won |
---|
88% (14/16) | 80% (12/15) |
Return Games Won |
---|
20% (3/15) | 13% (2/16) |
Total Games Won |
---|
55% (17/31) | 45% (14/31) |
Chances of winning
Elena Rybakina 69.3% | Elise Mertens 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elise Mertens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elise Mertens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.58) |
|
3.08 ↑ (2.39) |
4.9% (5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Mertens will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elena Rybakina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Rybakina is ranked WTA: 10. Mertens is ranked WTA: 22.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 4.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rybakina is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Elise Mertens?
Elena Rybakina has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Elena Rybakina?
Elise Mertens has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens were as follows:
01.06.2024
Elise Mertens
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
04.01.2024
Elise Mertens
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
27.03.2023
Elena Rybakina
-
Elise Mertens
2:0
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
2 | Vondrousova M. | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
3 | Danilovic O. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Raducanu E. (30) | |
5 | Fernandez L. (21) | Bye | |
6 | Williams V. (WC) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
7 | Collins D. | Townsend T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
8 | Bye | Samsonova L. (13) | |
9 | Rybakina E. (9) | Bye | |
10 | Zarazua R. | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 1 |
11 | Ngounoue C. (Q) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Mertens E. (19) | |
13 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Bye | |
14 | Ito A. (Q) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
15 | Pera B. (WC) | Lys E. | 1 : 2 |
16 | Bye | Keys M. (6) | |
17 | Swiatek I. (3) | Bye | |
18 | Potapova A. | Siegemund L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
19 | Osuigwe W. (Q) | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
20 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (25) | |
21 | Frech M. (22) | Bye | |
22 | Cirstea S. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
23 | Bucsa C. (LL) | Yuan Y. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
24 | Bye | Shnaider D. (14) | |
25 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Bye | |
26 | Sun L. | Ruzic A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
27 | Joint M. | Minnen G. | 2 : 0 |
28 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (18) | |
29 | Kalinskaya A. (28) | Bye | |
30 | Stearns P. | Wang Y. | 2 : 0 |
31 | Starodubtseva Y. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
32 | Bye | Anisimova A. (5) | |
33 | Navarro E. (8) | Bye | |
34 | Kudermetova P. | Seidel E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
35 | McNally C. (WC) | Inglis M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
36 | Bye | Kessler M. (29) | |
37 | Kenin S. (24) | Bye | |
38 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Volynets K. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
39 | Kartal S. | Garcia C. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
40 | Bye | Muchova K. (11) | |
41 | Tauson C. (16) | Bye | |
42 | Bondar A. | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
43 | Lamens S. | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
44 | Bye | Bencic B. (17) | |
45 | Linette M. (31) | Bye | |
46 | Dolehide C. | Sramkova R. | 1 : 2 |
47 | Blinkova A. | Birrell K. | 0 : 2 |
48 | Bye | Pegula J. (4) | |
49 | Paolini J. (7) | Bye | |
50 | Rakhimova K. (Q) | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
51 | Sevastova A. | Bektas E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
52 | Bye | Krueger A. (26) | |
53 | Noskova L. (20) | Bye | |
54 | Jovic I. (LL) | Sierra S. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
55 | Parks A. | Krejcikova B. | 1 : 2 |
56 | Bye | Svitolina E. (10) | |
57 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Bye | |
58 | Zhu L. | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
59 | Uchijima M. | Osorio C. | 1 : 2 |
60 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (23) | |
61 | Yastremska D. (32) | Bye | |
62 | Li A. | Tomova V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
63 | Wang Xin. | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
64 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/32-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Vondrousova M. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Danilovic O. | Raducanu E. (30) | 0 : 2 |
3 | Fernandez L. (21) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
4 | Townsend T. | Samsonova L. (13) | 2 : 0 |
5 | Rybakina E. (9) | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
6 | Ngounoue C. | Mertens E. (19) | 1 : 2 |
7 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Ito A. | 1 : 2 |
8 | Lys E. | Keys M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
9 | Swiatek I. (3) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
10 | Maria T. | Kostyuk M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
11 | Frech M. (22) | Cirstea S. | 1 : 2 |
12 | Yuan Y. | Shnaider D. (14) | 2 : 1 |
13 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
14 | Joint M. | Haddad Maia B. (18) | 2 : 1 |
15 | Kalinskaya A. (28) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
16 | Jeanjean L. | Anisimova A. (WO.) (5) | |
17 | Navarro E. (8) | Seidel E. | 1 : 2 |
18 | McNally C. | Kessler M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
19 | Kenin S. (24) | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
20 | Garcia C. | Muchova K. (11) | 0 : 2 |
21 | Tauson C. (16) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 1 |
22 | Kudermetova V. | Bencic B. (17) | 2 : 0 |
23 | Linette M. (31) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 0 |
24 | Birrell K. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
25 | Paolini J. (7) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
26 | Sevastova A. | Krueger A. (26) | 1 : 2 |
27 | Noskova L. (20) | Jovic I. | 0 : 2 |
28 | Krejcikova B. | Svitolina E. (10) | 2 : 1 |
29 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
30 | Osorio C. | Ostapenko J. (WO.) (23) | |
31 | Yastremska D. (32) | Tomova V. | 2 : 1 |
32 | Wang Xin. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Raducanu E. (30) | 2 : 1 |
2 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
3 | Rybakina E. (9) | Mertens E. (19) | 2 : 1 |
4 | Ito A. | Keys M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
5 | Swiatek I. (WO.) (3) | Kostyuk M. (25) | |
6 | Cirstea S. | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
7 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
8 | Kalinskaya A. (28) | Anisimova A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
9 | Seidel E. | Kessler M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
10 | Gracheva V. | Muchova K. (11) | 2 : 0 |
11 | Tauson C. (16) | Kudermetova V. | 1 : 2 |
12 | Linette M. (31) | Pegula J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
13 | Paolini J. (7) | Krueger A. (26) | 2 : 0 |
14 | Jovic I. | Krejcikova B. | 1 : 2 |
15 | Bronzetti L. | Ostapenko J. (23) | 2 : 1 |
16 | Yastremska D. (32) | Gauff C. (WO.) (2) | |
1/8-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Rybakina E. (9) | Keys M. (6) | 2 : 1 |
3 | Swiatek I. (3) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 1 : 2 |
5 | Seidel E. | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
6 | Kudermetova V. | Linette M. (31) | 2 : 0 |
7 | Paolini J. (7) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 0 |
8 | Bronzetti L. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (9) | 0 : 2 |
2 | Swiatek I. (3) | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
3 | Gracheva V. | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
4 | Paolini J. (7) | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals1 | Rybakina E. (9) | Swiatek I. (3) | 0 : 2 |
2 | Kudermetova V. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
Final1 | Swiatek I. (3) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
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