Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Paula Badosa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Roland-Garros (Paris).

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
8	5
Double Faults
6	5
1st Serve Percentage
59%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (40/55)	68% (40/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (14/39)	38% (16/42)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)	29% (2/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
167 km/h	173 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
139 km/h	144 km/h
1st Return Points Won
32% (19/59)	27% (15/55)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (26/42)	64% (25/39)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)	83% (5/6)
Winners
39	26
Unforced Errors
46	32
Net Points Won
76% (13/17)	57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
57% (54/94)	55% (56/101)
Return Points Won
45% (45/101)	43% (40/94)
Total Points Won
51% (99/195)	49% (96/195)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)	67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)	36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)	52% (15/29)

Chances of winning

Elena Gabriela Ruse
23.5%

Paula Badosa
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Gabriela Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elena Gabriela Ruse's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.85)		1.25 ↓ (1.42)	4.8% (5.8%)

What is the prediction for Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ruse will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Badosa will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruse: 30.1% – 75.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ruse (votes: 1 - 50%). Badosa (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Ruse is ranked WTA: 80. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.
Ruse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Badosa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ruse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Badosa is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ruse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Elena Gabriela Ruse won against Paula Badosa?

Elena Gabriela Ruse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Elena Gabriela Ruse?

Paula Badosa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa were as follows:

30.08.2024 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa 1:2

Latest results of Elena Gabriela Ruse

26.05.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - McCartney Kessler 2:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Danielle Collins - Elena Gabriela Ruse 2:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Polina Kudermetova 2:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Laura Siegemund 2:0 ✺

05.05.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Solana Sierra 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Paula Badosa

26.05.2025 Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa 1:2 ✺

22.05.2025 Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova 1:2 ✺

20.05.2025 Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova Bouzkova M. retired ✺

08.05.2025 Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa Canceled ✺

25.04.2025 Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova Canceled ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
2	Stefanini L. (Q)	Teichmann J.	0 : 2
3	Collins D.	Burrage J.	2 : 0
4	Danilovic O.	Fernandez L. (27)	2 : 0
5	Tauson C. (22)	Linette M.	2 : 1
6	Rus A.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
7	Kvitova P.	Golubic V.	1 : 2
8	Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q)	Anisimova A. (16)	0 : 1
9	Shnaider D. (11)	Sobolieva A. (Q)	2 : 0
10	Yastremska D.	Aiava D. (WC)	2 : 0
11	Romero Gormaz L. (Q)	Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)	2 : 0
12	Sherif M.	Samsonova L. (19)	0 : 2
13	Stearns P. (28)	Lys E.	0 : 2
14	Mboko V. (Q)	Sun L.	2 : 0
15	Eala A.	Arango E.	1 : 2
16	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (4)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
18	Tomljanovic A.	Joint M.	2 : 0
19	Korpatsch T. (Q)	Starodubtseva Y. (LL)	1 : 2
20	Potapova A.	Noskova L. (29)	2 : 1
21	Vekic D. (18)	Blinkova A.	2 : 1
22	Garcia C.	Pera B.	0 : 2
23	Siegemund L.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
24	Sonmez Z.	Svitolina E. (13)	0 : 2
25	Rybakina E. (12)	Riera J. (Q)	2 : 1
26	Jovic I. (WC)	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
27	Dolehide C.	Minnen G.	2 : 1
28	Kudermetova P.	Ostapenko J. (21)	1 : 2
29	Kostyuk M. (26)	Bejlek S. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Cristian J.	Birrell K.	2 : 0
31	Raducanu E.	Wang Xin.	2 : 1
32	Sramkova R.	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
33	Andreeva M. (6)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
34	Lamens S.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
35	Volynets K.	Garland J. (Q)	1 : 2
36	Sierra S. (Q)	Putintseva Y. (32)	0 : 2
37	Kasatkina D. (17)	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
38	Jeanjean L. (WC)	Begu I. (RET.)	1 : 1
39	Ruse G.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
40	Osaka N.	Badosa P. (10)	1 : 2
41	Muchova K. (14)	Parks A.	1 : 2
42	Jacquemot E. (WC)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
43	Avanesyan E.	Kalinina A.	0 : 2
44	Boisson L. (WC)	Mertens E. (24)	2 : 1
45	Frech M. (25)	Jabeur O.	2 : 0
46	Selekhmeteva O. (Q)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
47	Carle M. L. (Q)	Li A.	0 : 2
48	Todoni A. A.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
49	Keys M. (7)	Saville D. (Q)	2 : 0
50	Monnet C. (Q)	Boulter K.	1 : 2
51	Wickmayer Y.	Azarenka V.	0 : 2
52	Gracheva V.	Kenin S. (31)	0 : 2
53	Haddad Maia B. (23)	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
54	Hibino N. (Q)	Uchijima M.	2 : 0
55	Parry D. (WC)	Montgomery R.	0 : 2
56	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Navarro E. (9)	2 : 0
57	Krejcikova B. (15)	Maria T.	2 : 0
58	Kudermetova V.	Tomova V.	2 : 0
59	Townsend T. (LL)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 2
60	Bronzetti L.	Alexandrova E. (20)	0 : 2
61	Kalinskaya A. (30)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
62	Kartal S.	Andreeva E.	2 : 0
63	Paquet C. (WC)	Valentova T. (Q)	1 : 2
64	Gadecki O.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Teichmann J.	2 : 0
2	Collins D.	Danilovic O.	1 : 2
3	Tauson C. (22)	Rus A.	2 : 0
4	Golubic V.	Anisimova A. (16)	0 : 2
5	Shnaider D. (11)	Yastremska D.	0 : 2
6	Romero Gormaz L.	Samsonova L. (19)	0 : 2
7	Lys E.	Mboko V.	0 : 2
8	Arango E.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
9	Paolini J. (4)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 0
10	Starodubtseva Y.	Potapova A.	2 : 0
11	Vekic D. (18)	Pera B.	1 : 2
12	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (13)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (12)	Jovic I.	2 : 0
14	Dolehide C.	Ostapenko J. (21)	1 : 2
15	Bejlek S.	Cristian J.	1 : 2
16	Raducanu E.	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
17	Andreeva M. (6)	Krueger A.	2 : 0
18	Garland J.	Putintseva Y. (32)	0 : 2
19	Kasatkina D. (17)	Jeanjean L.	2 : 0
20	Ruse G.	Badosa P. (10)	1 : 2
21	Parks A.	Jacquemot E.	1 : 2
22	Kalinina A.	Boisson L.	0 : 2
23	Frech M. (25)	Vondrousova M.	1 : 2
24	Li A.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (7)	Boulter K.	2 : 0
26	Azarenka V.	Kenin S. (31)	0 : 2
27	Baptiste H.	Hibino N.	2 : 0
28	Montgomery R.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	1 : 2
29	Krejcikova B. (15)	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
30	Cocciaretto E.	Alexandrova E. (20)	0 : 2
31	Bouzkova M.	Kartal S.	2 : 0
32	Valentova T.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
2	Tauson C. (22)	Anisimova A. (16)	0 : 2
3	Yastremska D.	Samsonova L. (19)	0 : 2
4	Mboko V.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
5	Paolini J. (4)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
6	Pera B.	Svitolina E. (13)	0 : 2
7	Rybakina E. (12)	Ostapenko J. (21)	2 : 0
8	Cristian J.	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
9	Andreeva M. (6)	Putintseva Y. (32)	2 : 0
10	Kasatkina D. (17)	Badosa P. (10)	2 : 0
11	Jacquemot E.	Boisson L.	1 : 2
12	Vondrousova M.	Pegula J. (3)	1 : 2
13	Keys M. (7)	Kenin S. (31)	2 : 1
14	Baptiste H.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
15	Kudermetova V.	Alexandrova E. (20)	0 : 2
16	Bouzkova M.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Anisimova A. (16)	2 : 0
2	Samsonova L. (19)	Zheng Q. (8)	1 : 2
3	Paolini J. (4)	Svitolina E. (13)	1 : 2
4	Rybakina E. (12)	Swiatek I. (5)	1 : 2
5	Andreeva M. (6)	Kasatkina D. (17)	2 : 0
6	Boisson L.	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 1
7	Keys M. (7)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
8	Alexandrova E. (20)	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (8)	2 : 0
2	Svitolina E. (13)	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (6)	Boisson L.	0 : 2
4	Keys M. (7)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Swiatek I. (5)	2 : 1
2	Boisson L.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (2)

1 : 2

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