Eldense vs Burgos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda).

: LaLiga2 - Round 33
Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	0.16
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
83% (345/414)	81% (333/413)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	0.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	0.04
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
15	2
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
21	4
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
83% (345/414)	81% (333/413)
Long passes
56% (32/57)	35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
75% (108/144)	49% (39/80)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.37	0.14
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
67% (12/18)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
45	36
Clearances Total
13	25
Interceptions
4	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.04	1.27
Goals prevented
0.04	1.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Oltra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Atienza M. 🟨,
50', Gassama S. 🟨,
52', Gamez F. 🟨,
53', Alex 🟨,
61', Ojeda D. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
66', Gassama S. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
66', Gamez F. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
73', Curro ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
73', Exposito M. ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
77', Fede ↓, Masca ↑,
83', Quintana Nacho ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
83', Barzic M. ↓, Dumic D. ↑,
86', Alex ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
86', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/38mn2tbv

Chances of winning

Eldense
40%

Draw
32.4%

Burgos
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Eldense - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	6.7% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Eldense - Burgos?

The most likely score is 0:0.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Recent matches Eldense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burgos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Burgos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Eldense will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Eldense: Llabres J. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Elady (Muscle Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Eldense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Eldense won against Burgos?

Eldense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Eldense?

Burgos has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eldense - Burgos were as follows:

08.12.2024 Burgos - Eldense 1:0

10.05.2024 Burgos - Eldense 1:2

05.11.2023 Eldense - Burgos 2:0

22.12.2022 Eldense - Burgos 1:0

Latest results of Eldense

22.03.2025 Elche - Eldense 2:0 ✺

16.03.2025 Eldense - Mirandés 0:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Zaragoza - Eldense 2:4 ✺

02.03.2025 Eldense - Levante 1:2 ✺

23.02.2025 Albacete Balompié - Eldense 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

21.03.2025 Burgos - Almería 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Cartagena - Burgos 0:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Burgos - Albacete Balompié 1:0 ✺

05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	39	20	11	8	52:32	20	71
2	Levante	39	19	13	7	64:40	24	70
3	Mirandes	39	20	8	11	54:38	16	68
4	Racing Santander	39	19	10	10	60:45	15	67
5	R. Oviedo	39	18	12	9	52:41	11	66
6	Almeria	39	17	11	11	68:55	13	62
7	Granada CF	39	16	11	12	59:49	10	59
8	Huesca	39	16	10	13	53:42	11	58
9	Cordoba	39	14	12	13	56:56	0	54
10	Albacete	39	14	12	13	54:55	-1	54
11	Burgos CF	39	15	9	15	37:42	-5	54
12	Dep. La Coruna	39	13	14	12	54:46	8	53
13	Eibar	39	13	13	13	39:39	0	52
14	Cadiz CF	39	13	13	13	50:50	0	52
15	Gijon	39	12	14	13	51:50	1	50
16	Castellon	39	13	10	16	59:59	0	49
17	Malaga	39	11	16	12	38:41	-3	49
18	Zaragoza	39	12	12	15	54:58	-4	48
19	Eldense	39	11	10	18	38:56	-18	43
20	Tenerife ✔	39	8	12	19	35:51	-16	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol ✔	39	5	12	22	21:60	-39	27
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	39	5	5	29	29:72	-43	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Eldense - Burgos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+