Osasuna vs Elche: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

: LaLiga - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	0.78
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
78% (288/371)	85% (502/589)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	1.29
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
18	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	19
Passes
78% (288/371)	85% (502/589)
Long passes
46% (31/67)	45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
63% (59/94)	77% (101/131)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.34
Throw-ins
19	20
Fouls
19	13
Tackles
58% (14/24)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
62	48
Clearances
28	25
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.29	0.48
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Munoz V. ⚽, Catena A. (A),
29', Moncayola J. 🟨,
32', Chust V. 🟨,
45', Boyomo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaby B. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
55', Andre Silva ↓, Mir R. ↑,
69', Diangana G. ↓, Valera G. ↑,
69', Fort H. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
70', Sarabia E. 🟥,
72', Benito I. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
72', Munoz V. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
80', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
84', Nunez A. ↓, Josan ↑,
85', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
86', Gomez M. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Pedrosa A. ⚽, Febas A. (A),

Chances of winning

Osasuna
56.7%

Draw
27.8%

Elche
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osasuna's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasuna - Elche Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.99)	3.86 ↑ (3.13)	7.16 ↑ (4.33)	-4.2% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Osasuna - Elche?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 33 - 68.8%). Elche will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 55.7% – 81.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Osasuna will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Osasuna is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Osasuna: Oroz A. (Foot Injury) Rosier V. (Red Card)
There will not play in Elche: Neto M. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Elche?

Osasuna has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Osasuna?

Elche has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Elche were as follows:

08.04.2023 Osasuna - Elche 2:1

22.01.2023 Elche - Osasuna 1:1

Latest results of Osasuna

20.09.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 2:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 2:0 ✺

04.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Espanyol - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Elche

21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2 ✺

04.09.2025 Real Murcia - Elche 3:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Elche - Levante 2:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Atlético Madrid - Elche 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	19:9	10	21
2	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	22:9	13	19
3	Villarreal	8	5	1	2	14:8	6	16
4	Betis	8	4	3	1	13:8	5	15
5	Atl. Madrid	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
6	Sevilla	8	4	1	3	15:11	4	13
7	Elche	8	3	4	1	11:9	2	13
8	Ath Bilbao	8	4	1	3	9:9	0	13
9	Espanyol	8	3	3	2	11:11	0	12
10	Alaves	8	3	2	3	9:8	1	11
11	Getafe	8	3	2	3	9:11	-2	11
12	Osasuna	8	3	1	4	7:8	-1	10
13	Levante	8	2	2	4	13:14	-1	8
14	Rayo Vallecano	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
15	Valencia	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
16	Celta Vigo	8	0	6	2	7:10	-3	6
17	R. Oviedo	8	2	0	6	4:14	-10	6
18	Girona	8	1	3	4	5:17	-12	6
19	Real Sociedad	8	1	2	5	7:12	-5	5
20	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	7:13	-6	5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Osasuna - Elche?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 4, CANAL+ Sport 3
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15