Elche vs Ferrol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche).

: LaLiga2 - Round 34
Referee: De La Fuente O. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	0.23
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
85% (431/506)	77% (227/295)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.22	0.11
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
21	10
Through passes
100% (1/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
85% (431/506)	77% (227/295)
Long passes
56% (35/63)	54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
76% (118/155)	56% (33/59)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	0.22
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
50% (9/18)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
39	44
Clearances Total
7	34
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.11	1.22
Goals prevented
0.11	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Josan ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Josan ↓, Valera G. ↑,
59', Diaby B. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
68', Martinez B. 🟨,
70', Garcia N. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
70', Dorrio J. ↓, Nacho ↑,
74', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
74', Mercau N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
76', Salinas J. 🟨,
78', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
78', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
79', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
88', Bunuel A. ↓, Pena H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Elche
67.1%

Draw
21.7%

Ferrol
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.9%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Elche - Ferrol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.32 ↓ (4.71)	8.56 ↑ (8.03)	6.6% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Elche - Ferrol?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ferrol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Elche is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Ferrol?

Elche has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Elche?

Ferrol has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Ferrol were as follows:

05.10.2024 Ferrol - Elche 1:0

31.03.2024 Ferrol - Elche 1:0

12.08.2023 Elche - Ferrol 0:1

Latest results of Elche

30.03.2025 Córdoba - Elche 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Elche - Eldense 2:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Elche - Castellón 3:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Racing Santander - Elche 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Ferrol

29.03.2025 Ferrol - Deportivo La Coruña 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0 ✺

05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	39	20	11	8	52:32	20	71
2	Levante	39	19	13	7	64:40	24	70
3	Mirandes	39	20	8	11	54:38	16	68
4	Racing Santander	39	19	10	10	60:45	15	67
5	R. Oviedo	39	18	12	9	52:41	11	66
6	Almeria	39	17	11	11	68:55	13	62
7	Granada CF	39	16	11	12	59:49	10	59
8	Huesca	39	16	10	13	53:42	11	58
9	Cordoba	39	14	12	13	56:56	0	54
10	Albacete	39	14	12	13	54:55	-1	54
11	Burgos CF	39	15	9	15	37:42	-5	54
12	Dep. La Coruna	39	13	14	12	54:46	8	53
13	Eibar	39	13	13	13	39:39	0	52
14	Cadiz CF	39	13	13	13	50:50	0	52
15	Gijon	39	12	14	13	51:50	1	50
16	Castellon	39	13	10	16	59:59	0	49
17	Malaga	39	11	16	12	38:41	-3	49
18	Zaragoza	39	12	12	15	54:58	-4	48
19	Eldense	39	11	10	18	38:56	-18	43
20	Tenerife ✔	39	8	12	19	35:51	-16	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol ✔	39	5	12	22	21:60	-39	27
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	39	5	5	29	29:72	-43	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Elche - Ferrol?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports