Elche vs Celta de Vigo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche).

: LaLiga - Round 7

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.32	0.77
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
91% (524/574)	83% (297/359)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32	0.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.83	0.27
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
15	7
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
35	11
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
20	12
Passes
91% (524/574)	83% (297/359)
Long passes
53% (28/53)	31% (10/32)
Passes in final third
85% (142/168)	66% (59/90)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.10	0.54
Throw-ins
9	18
Fouls
12	20
Tackles
69% (11/16)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
45	46
Clearances
21	30
Interceptions
7	2
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.27	2.83
Goals prevented
-0.73	0.83

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Mingueza O. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Andre Silva ⚽, Josan (A),
22', 1 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
46', Moriba I. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
54', Mir R. (Pen),
57', Lago Y. 🟨,
64', Josan 🟨,
65', Andre Silva ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
67', Zaragoza B. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Donald J. ⚽,
70', Affengruber D. 🟨,
72', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
73', Pedrosa A. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
74', Lago Y. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
74', Bigas P. ↓, Chust V. ↑,
81', Mir R. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
81', Josan ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
82', Alonso M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
85', Roman M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Elche
33.3%

Draw
34.6%

Celta de Vigo
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.6%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

31.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Elche - Celta de Vigo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.67)	2.8 ↓ (3.17)	3.15 ↑ (2.93)	0.6% (3.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Elche - Celta de Vigo?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Celta will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5% – 68.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Elche: Mendoza R. (International duty) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury) Starfelt C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Elche: Houary A. (Illness) Neto M. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Celta: Ristic M. (Back Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Celta de Vigo?

Elche has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Elche?

Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Celta de Vigo were as follows:

06.01.2023 Elche - Celta de Vigo 0:1

Latest results of Elche

25.09.2025 Osasuna - Elche 1:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2 ✺

04.09.2025 Real Murcia - Elche 3:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Elche - Levante 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Celta de Vigo

25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Betis 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	19:9	10	21
2	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	22:9	13	19
3	Villarreal	8	5	1	2	14:8	6	16
4	Betis	8	4	3	1	13:8	5	15
5	Atl. Madrid	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
6	Sevilla	8	4	1	3	15:11	4	13
7	Elche	8	3	4	1	11:9	2	13
8	Ath Bilbao	8	4	1	3	9:9	0	13
9	Espanyol	8	3	3	2	11:11	0	12
10	Alaves	8	3	2	3	9:8	1	11
11	Getafe	8	3	2	3	9:11	-2	11
12	Osasuna	8	3	1	4	7:8	-1	10
13	Levante	8	2	2	4	13:14	-1	8
14	Rayo Vallecano	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
15	Valencia	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
16	Celta Vigo	8	0	6	2	7:10	-3	6
17	R. Oviedo	8	2	0	6	4:14	-10	6
18	Girona	8	1	3	4	5:17	-12	6
19	Real Sociedad	8	1	2	5	7:12	-5	5
20	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	7:13	-6	5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Elche - Celta de Vigo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15