Elche vs Castellón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Elche - Castellón
Result
3:1
08/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
Elche - Castellón - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.830.55
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
17
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1411
Offsides
03
Fouls
1114
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1723
Touches in the Opposition Box
2130
Passes
80% (359/446)76% (242/320)
Passes in the final third
61% (64/105)58% (60/103)
Crosses
44% (4/9)33% (5/15)
Tackles
53% (8/15)89% (8/9)
Clearances Total
2325
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. , Aguado M. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Valera G. , Josan (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Zarfino G. , Lottin A. ,
  • 61', Plano O. , Donald J. ,
  • 64', Josan , Castro N. ,
  • 64', Aguado M. , Pejino ,
  • 66', Jojic M. , Pastor G. ,
  • 68', Bigas P. 🟨,
  • 72', van den Belt T. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Donald J. , Valera G. (A),
  • 77', 3 - 1, Gil O. ,
  • 78', Sanchez R. , Cipenga B. ,
  • 79', Mabil A. , Traore M. ,
  • 81', Valera G. , Izquierdo J. ,
  • 81', Diaby B. , Affengruber D. ,
  • 85', Suero I. , Markanich N. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4vk7tuv9

Chances of winning


Elche
51.2%
Draw
26.7%
Castellón
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.3% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 29.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Elche - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.76)
    3.53
    (3.55)
    4.3
    (4.49)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Elche - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: Elche will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Recent matches Elche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Elche is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Elche: Mercau N. (Thigh Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Calatrava A. (Yellow Cards) Jimenez A. (Red Card) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Willems J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Elche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Castellón were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Castellón - Elche 0:2
    31.07.2024 Elche - Castellón 0:6
    Latest results of Elche
    02.03.2025 Racing Santander - Elche 2:0
    23.02.2025 Elche - Cartagena 2:1
    17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1
    09.02.2025 Elche - Tenerife 2:0
    01.02.2025 Mirandés - Elche 3:0
    Latest results of Castellón
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0
    15.02.2025 Castellón - Eibar 2:0
    08.02.2025 Ferrol - Castellón 1:3
    02.02.2025 Castellón - Huesca 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1R. Oviedo (3)Almeria (6)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Mirandes (4)Racing Santander (5)4 : 1, 3 : 3

    Final
    1R. Oviedo (3)Mirandes (4)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Elche - Castellón?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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