Elche vs Castellón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30
Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.83	0.55
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Goal Attempts
9	14
Shots on Goal
7	3
Shots off Goal
1	7
Blocked Shots
1	4
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	7
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
Free Kicks
14	11
Offsides
0	3
Fouls
11	14
Yellow Cards
1	1
Throw-ins
17	23
Touches in the Opposition Box
21	30
Passes
80% (359/446)	76% (242/320)
Passes in the final third
61% (64/105)	58% (60/103)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	33% (5/15)
Tackles
53% (8/15)	89% (8/9)
Clearances Total
23	25
Interceptions
6	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Aguado M. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Valera G. ⚽, Josan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zarfino G. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
61', Plano O. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
64', Josan ↓, Castro N. ↑,
64', Aguado M. ↓, Pejino ↑,
66', Jojic M. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
68', Bigas P. 🟨,
72', van den Belt T. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Donald J. ⚽, Valera G. (A),
77', 3 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
78', Sanchez R. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
79', Mabil A. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
81', Valera G. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
81', Diaby B. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
85', Suero I. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4vk7tuv9

Chances of winning

Elche
51.2%

Draw
26.7%

Castellón
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

29.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Elche - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.76)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	4.3 ↓ (4.49)	6% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Elche - Castellón?

The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Elche will win! (17 of 18 users predict this).

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
Recent matches Elche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Elche is a favorite.
There will not play in Elche: Mercau N. (Thigh Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Calatrava A. (Yellow Cards) Jimenez A. (Red Card) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Castellón: Willems J. (Muscle Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Elche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6

How many head-to-head matches has Elche won against Castellón?

Elche has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Elche?

Castellón has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Castellón were as follows:

22.12.2024 Castellón - Elche 0:2

31.07.2024 Elche - Castellón 0:6

Latest results of Elche

02.03.2025 Racing Santander - Elche 2:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Elche - Cartagena 2:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Elche - Tenerife 2:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Mirandés - Elche 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Castellón - Eibar 2:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Ferrol - Castellón 1:3 ✺

02.02.2025 Castellón - Huesca 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	38	20	11	7	51:29	22	71
2	Levante	38	18	13	7	61:39	22	67
3	Racing Santander	38	19	9	10	59:44	15	66
4	R. Oviedo	38	18	11	9	51:40	11	65
5	Mirandes	38	19	8	11	51:36	15	65
6	Almeria	38	17	11	10	67:53	14	62
7	Granada CF	38	16	11	11	59:47	12	59
8	Huesca	38	16	10	12	51:39	12	58
9	Cordoba	38	14	12	12	54:53	1	54
10	Dep. La Coruna	38	13	14	11	53:44	9	53
11	Albacete	38	13	12	13	51:53	-2	51
12	Burgos CF	38	14	9	15	34:40	-6	51
13	Cadiz CF	38	12	13	13	48:49	-1	49
14	Eibar	38	12	13	13	37:39	-2	49
15	Malaga	38	11	16	11	38:40	-2	49
16	Castellon	38	13	10	15	57:56	1	49
17	Gijon	38	11	14	13	49:49	0	47
18	Zaragoza	38	11	12	15	51:56	-5	45
19	Eldense	38	10	10	18	37:56	-19	40
20	Tenerife	38	8	11	19	35:51	-16	35
21	Racing Club Ferrol	38	5	11	22	21:60	-39	26
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	38	5	5	28	27:69	-42	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Elche - Castellón?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+