El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.35
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
85% (309/364)83% (231/278)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.10
Total shots
146
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
167
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1421
Passes
85% (309/364)83% (231/278)
Long passes
52% (31/60)49% (18/37)
Passes in final third
64% (54/85)61% (35/57)
Crosses
21% (4/19)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.34
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
2315
Tackles
67% (6/9)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.100.54
Goals prevented
0.10-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
  • 21', Ortiz A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Gabriel Torres ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jamieson L. , Cicerone R. ,
  • 46', Edwards A. , Gurr J. ,
  • 47', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 51', Calvillo E. 🟨,
  • 66', Spaulding R. , Benitez M. ,
  • 66', Ukaegbu C. , Wanner D. ,
  • 67', Sorto C. 🟨,
  • 74', Herrera J. , Bennett K. ,
  • 77', Sorto C. , Coronado R. ,
  • 90', Moreno A. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 90+2', Gurr J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
40.2%
Draw
29.1%
Sacramento Republic
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 30.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.5)
    3.2
    (3.1)
    3.02
    (2.81)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • Recent performances by El Paso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 3:0
    19.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    14.08.2024 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 2:0
    16.09.2023 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    11.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City22156145:182751
    2Charleston22152545:232247
    3Loudoun22104835:34134
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2285932:27529
    6Detroit2278725:25029
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven22751035:40-526
    9Rhode Island22661016:23-724
    10Tampa Bay21631224:32-821
    11Birmingham2249928:37-921
    12Miami FC22551222:37-1520


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa22126437:251242
    2Sacramento Republic2197531:171434
    3El Paso2188536:30632
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5San Antonio2186726:27-130
    6Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    7Orange County SC2084832:29328
    8New Mexico2083926:30-427
    9Colorado Springs2176827:29-227
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay23661123:30-724
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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