Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive
Result
3:0
12/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Hernandez C. (Cos)
Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.99
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
84% (320/380)87% (521/599)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.19
Total shots
97
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1124
Passes
84% (320/380)87% (521/599)
Long passes
63% (36/57)48% (32/67)
Passes in final third
73% (70/96)65% (75/116)
Crosses
38% (5/13)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.35
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
2411
Tackles
88% (15/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1514
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.192.07
Goals prevented
0.19-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Benitez M. 🟨,
  • 16', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
  • 33', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Herrera J. , Benitez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Dollenmayer N. , Gabriel Torres ,
  • 46', Kleemann F. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 56', Carter D. , Avila R. ,
  • 58', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • 61', Edwards A. , Gurr J. ,
  • 61', Cicerone R. , Parano C. ,
  • 67', Lopez R. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 67', Quezada A. , Diaz M. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Benitez M. , Willey B. (A),
  • 78', Lopez F. , Coronado R. ,
  • 82', Willey B. , Wanner D. ,
  • 85', Gabriel Torres 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Parano C. , Herrera J. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
48.1%
Draw
28.3%
El Paso Locomotive
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 27.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 26.8% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.05)
    3.25
    (3.35)
    3.9
    (3.34)
    8.8%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3.
    • In recent matches, Sacramento Republic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • El Paso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    19.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    14.08.2024 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 2:0
    16.09.2023 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    11.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 0:1
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City20145142:172547
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3Loudoun2094731:29231
    4North Carolina1993729:26330
    5Pittsburgh2076719:18127
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1965826:23323
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1955929:35-620
    10Miami FC20551019:31-1220
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay19531122:29-718


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa20116336:231339
    2Sacramento Republic1987429:161331
    3San Antonio1984725:26-128
    4El Paso1977532:27528
    5Orange County SC1883728:24427
    6New Mexico1882826:28-226
    7Phoenix Rising2067731:36-525
    8Lexington2067721:26-525
    9Colorado Springs1966724:25-124
    10Monterey Bay21651023:29-623
    11Oakland Roots19631023:30-721
    12Las Vegas Lights20551016:37-2120

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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