Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive
Result
3:3
30/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.63
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
420
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
83% (263/315)90% (448/499)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.12
Total shots
420
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
08
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
727
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1123
Passes
83% (263/315)90% (448/499)
Long passes
51% (24/47)77% (34/44)
Passes in final third
50% (23/46)78% (127/162)
Crosses
20% (1/5)38% (9/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.19
Throw-ins
918
Fouls
2311
Tackles
62% (8/13)42% (5/12)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
295
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.121.91
Goals prevented
-1.88-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Sacko I. , Flores D. (A),
  • 9', Ortiz A. 🟨,
  • 25', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Sacko I. , Arase K. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Johnson D. , Arase K. (A),
  • 55', Daroma F. 🟨,
  • 57', Arase K. , Dennis C. ,
  • 58', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 60', Daroma F. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 61', Sorto C. , Coronado R. ,
  • 64', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 65', Avayevu H. , Mar Boye P. ,
  • 72', Rakovsky P. 🟨,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Moreno A. , Ruiz R. (A),
  • 76', Sacko I. , Emmers X. ,
  • 76', Johnson D. , Flood R. ,
  • 76', Flores D. , Czichos ,
  • 79', Avila R. , Dollenmayer N. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Gabriel Torres , Twumasi K. (A),
  • 81', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 3 - 3, Ruiz R. ,
  • 90+9', Sainte C. F. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
39.9%
Draw
27.5%
El Paso Locomotive
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.8% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.7% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.72)
    3.35
    (3.32)
    2.83
    (2.42)
    8.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2.
    • Phoenix Rising has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Paso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    19.07.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 2:3
    15.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 4:4
    19.07.2024 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 2:0
    15.06.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    23.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City22156145:182751
    2Charleston22152545:232247
    3Loudoun22104835:34134
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2285932:27529
    6Detroit2278725:25029
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven22751035:40-526
    9Rhode Island22661016:23-724
    10Tampa Bay21631224:32-821
    11Birmingham2249928:37-921
    12Miami FC22551222:37-1520


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa22126437:251242
    2Sacramento Republic2197531:171434
    3El Paso2188536:30632
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5San Antonio2186726:27-130
    6Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    7Orange County SC2084832:29328
    8New Mexico2083926:30-427
    9Colorado Springs2176827:29-227
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay23661123:30-724
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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