Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : USL Championship
- Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (368/412) | 89% (318/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (368/412) | 89% (318/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 59% (33/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (58/85) | 71% (46/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Ackwei W. 🟥,
- 15', Waite J. 🟨,
- 17', Sorto C. ↓, Alfaro T. ↑,
- 22', Avila R. 🟨,
- 25', Burner P. 🟨,
- 27', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 0, Conway E. ⚽, Pedro Becker (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Roberts T. 🟨,
- 59', Pedro Becker 🟨,
- 63', Sommersall R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 63', Roberts T. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
- 74', Avila R. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
- 74', Moreno A. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 81', Perez L. 🟨,
- 86', Calvillo E. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
40.8% | Draw
27.9% | El Paso Locomotive
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)The ML Model estimate for El Paso Locomotive aligns with the current prediction.
North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.25) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
2.96 ↑
(2.91) |
8.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against El Paso Locomotive?
North Carolina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against North Carolina?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
28.09.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
North Carolina
1:0
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 34:47 | -13 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
