El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship El Paso Locomotive - Lexington
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)
El Paso Locomotive - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.70
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
81% (331/410)83% (381/460)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.32
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1416
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
918
Passes
81% (331/410)83% (381/460)
Long passes
34% (19/56)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)62% (64/104)
Crosses
20% (2/10)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.290.52
Fouls
189
Tackles
73% (11/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4254
Clearances Total
3018
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
0.321.11
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. , Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 25', Djeffal S. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. , Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 45+1', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ackwei W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Nick Firmino 🟨,
  • 55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
  • 59', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
  • 60', Rodrigues B. P. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 65', Ortiz A. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Burke C. , Goldthorp E. (A),
  • 82', Ackwei W. , Tony Alfaro ,
  • 82', Moreno A. , Ruiz R. ,
  • 82', Sargeant K. , Adedokun M. ,
  • 90', Burke C. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
43.6%
Draw
26.5%
Lexington
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 26.2% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 26.3% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Paso Locomotive - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.39)
    3.48
    (3.52)
    3.08
    (2.62)
    8.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • El Paso is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Lexington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lexington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • El Paso will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1783626:24227
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1664614:14022
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1653816:24-818
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Tampa Bay16421017:25-814
    12Hartford Athletic1534815:21-613


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1685324:16829
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1581622:17525
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    8Orange County SC1562722:22020
    9Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    10Lexington1747617:23-619
    11Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518
    12Colorado Springs1646619:22-318

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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