Result
29/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Vinotinto
41.6% | Draw
28.7% | El Nacional
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vinotinto's form might have worsened.El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Vinotinto - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.93) |
3.26 ↓
(3.5) |
3.1 ↓
(3.61) |
7.7%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Vinotinto has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- El Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vinotinto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against El Nacional?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Vinotinto?
El Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - El Nacional were as follows:
12.05.2025
El Nacional
-
Vinotinto
2:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Orense | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 41 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 39 |
| 8 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Delfin | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Which TV channels are streaming of Vinotinto - El Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
