Result
0:1
30/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 6
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (371/436) | 75% (206/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (371/436) | 75% (206/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/107) | 57% (37/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/31) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Parrales M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Borja F. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 46', Mora F. ↓, Olmedo M. ↑,
- 46', Montano M. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 46', Herrera A. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
- 60', Velasco P. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 61', Molina N. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
- 62', Vinan B. 🟨,
- 64', Hernandez B. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
- 65', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
- 75', Reasco D. 🟥,
- 79', Cevallos J. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 79', Vinan B. ↓, Meneses Garcia R. R. ↑,
- 80', Olmedo M. 🟨,
- 87', Carabali F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Valverde J. 🟥,
- 90+4', Mejia J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Mena A. ↓, Guerrero Meza J. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
51% | Draw
27.5% | Orense
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
El Nacional - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.99) |
3.33 ↓
(3.35) |
4.3 ↑
(3.65) |
8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Orense?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Orense will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Nacional: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2.
- El Nacional is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Orense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- El Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- El Nacional will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Orense?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against El Nacional?
Orense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Orense were as follows:
27.10.2024
El Nacional
-
Orense
0:1
03.05.2024
Orense
-
El Nacional
0:1
20.10.2023
Orense
-
El Nacional
1:1
13.05.2023
El Nacional
-
Orense
3:1
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 29 |
| 3 | Aucas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Orense | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Vinotinto | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 | EL Nacional | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Libertad | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Delfin | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 | Manta | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Emelec | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Macara | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of El Nacional - Orense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
