El Nacional vs Orense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Orense
Result
0:1
30/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 6
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
El Nacional - Orense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.10
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
85% (371/436)75% (206/274)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.95
Total shots
77
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
199
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
85% (371/436)75% (206/274)
Long passes
51% (19/37)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)57% (37/65)
Crosses
10% (3/31)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.12
Fouls
1210
Tackles
91% (10/11)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3439
Clearances Total
733
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.950.28
Goals prevented
-0.050.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Parrales M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Borja F. , Branda V. ,
  • 46', Mora F. , Olmedo M. ,
  • 46', Montano M. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 46', Herrera A. , Olinick A. ,
  • 60', Velasco P. , Quinonez B. ,
  • 61', Molina N. , Vasquez S. ,
  • 62', Vinan B. 🟨,
  • 64', Hernandez B. , Mejia J. ,
  • 65', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
  • 75', Reasco D. 🟥,
  • 79', Cevallos J. , Ledesma A. ,
  • 79', Vinan B. , Meneses Garcia R. R. ,
  • 80', Olmedo M. 🟨,
  • 87', Carabali F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Valverde J. 🟥,
  • 90+4', Mejia J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mena A. , Guerrero Meza J. A. ,

Chances of winning


El Nacional
51%
Draw
27.5%
Orense
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 27.7% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26.2% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • El Nacional - Orense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.99)
    3.33
    (3.35)
    4.3
    (3.65)
    8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Orense?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Orense will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for El Nacional: 42.8%90.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2.
    • El Nacional is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Orense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • El Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • El Nacional will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Orense were as follows:
    27.10.2024 El Nacional - Orense 0:1
    03.05.2024 Orense - El Nacional 0:1
    20.10.2023 Orense - El Nacional 1:1
    13.05.2023 El Nacional - Orense 3:1
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of Orense
    15.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 4:1
    05.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:1
    01.03.2025 LDU Quito - Orense 4:0
    23.02.2025 Orense - Manta 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle1594229:141531
    2Barcelona SC1492320:15529
    3Aucas1574422:16625
    4LDU Quito1465322:14823
    5Dep. Cuenca1572614:13123
    6Orense1572618:20-223
    7Vinotinto1564524:19522
    8U. Catolica1555524:19520
    9EL Nacional1554621:21019
    10Libertad1554619:20-119
    11Delfin1546512:20-818
    12Manta1537521:27-616
    13Emelec154479:18-916
    14Macara1536612:15-315
    15Mushuc Runa1543821:26-515
    16Tecnico U1524914:25-1110

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of El Nacional - Orense?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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