Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Mushuc Runa - El Nacional
Result
2:3
01/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 15
  • Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
Mushuc Runa - El Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.73
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
62% (158/255)67% (195/292)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.97
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
715
Passes
62% (158/255)67% (195/292)
Long passes
38% (29/76)29% (16/55)
Passes in final third
47% (49/105)71% (44/62)
Crosses
17% (4/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.52
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
157
Tackles
74% (14/19)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.971.57
Goals prevented
-2.03-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Reasco D. , Borja F. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Haquin L. (Pen),
  • 25', Davila E. 🟨,
  • 31', Carabali F. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 45+3', Cela A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Quintero D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Borja F. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 46', 1 - 2, Cevallos J. , Pazmino D. (A),
  • 49', 1 - 3, Reasco D. , Pazmino D. (A),
  • 51', Caicedo E. 🟨,
  • 54', Parrales J. , Miranda B. ,
  • 55', Tapiero S. , Peralta K. ,
  • 67', Orejuela C. , Simisterra R. ,
  • 67', Bryan Angulo , Alonso M. ,
  • 76', Pazmino D. 🟨,
  • 77', Pazmino D. , Rivera B. ,
  • 78', Cevallos J. 🟨,
  • 79', Mina G. , Gracia A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Miranda B. ,
  • 82', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 86', Cevallos J. , Mejia J. ,
  • 86', Cela A. , Montano M. ,
  • 89', Davila E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mushuc Runa
48.9%
Draw
26.9%
El Nacional
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 25.9% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Mushuc Runa - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.81)
    3.44
    (3.59)
    3.81
    (4.1)
    7.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 0.
    • Mushuc Runa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • El Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Mushuc Runa has had a series of away games.
    • Mushuc Runa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - El Nacional were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 2:2
    31.10.2024 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 2:0
    23.10.2024 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 1:2
    26.05.2024 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 1:0
    08.10.2023 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 2:0
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Latest results of El Nacional
    25.05.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:0
    12.05.2025 El Nacional - Vinotinto 2:1
    03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2
    25.04.2025 El Nacional - Delfín 3:2
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle27178250:203059
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito26128641:251644
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6Orense26125930:30041
    7U. Catolica26109748:331539
    8Aucas261151035:37-238
    9Emelec2698924:29-535
    10EL Nacional27971132:35-334
    11Macara26791025:27-230
    12Delfin266101025:40-1528
    13Manta265101131:43-1225
    14Tecnico U27671424:41-1725
    15Vinotinto27661529:38-924
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Mushuc Runa - El Nacional?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
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