Independiente Medellín vs El Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Independiente Medellín - El Nacional
Result
2:1
01/03/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Independiente Medellín - El Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
61.8%
Draw
23%
El Nacional
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 23.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 22.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Independiente Medellín - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.54)
    4.06
    (3.85)
    6.07
    (5.65)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - El Nacional?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Independiente Medellín is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • El Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • El Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Independiente Medellín have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - El Nacional were as follows:
    22.02.2023 El Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile53118:5310
    2Estudiantes L.P43017:259
    3Botafogo RJ42024:316
    4Carabobo50142:11-91


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42206:428
    2Ind. del Valle41214:405
    3Barcelona SC41123:4-14
    4U. de Deportes41122:3-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba53207:4311
    2LDU Quito42205:238
    3Flamengo RJ41213:305
    4Dep. Tachira50054:10-60


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 43107:2510
    2Libertad Asuncion42113:217
    3Alianza Lima41125:7-24
    4Talleres Cordoba40132:6-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza52218:448
    2Racing Club42119:367
    3Bucaramanga51316:9-36
    4Colo Colo40224:11-72


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bahia42114:407
    2Atl. Nacional42026:516
    3Internacional41218:715
    4Nacional41126:8-24


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras44009:4512
    2Cerro Porteno52127:707
    3Sporting Cristal51136:10-44
    4Bolivar41038:9-13


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield42118:447
    2Penarol42116:247
    3SA Bulo Bulo42025:8-36
    4Olimpia Asuncion40223:8-52

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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