Independiente Medellín vs El Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Independiente Medellín - El Nacional
Result
2:1
01/03/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Independiente Medellín - El Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
61.8%
Draw
23%
El Nacional
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 23.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 22.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Independiente Medellín - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.54)
    4.06
    (3.85)
    6.07
    (5.65)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - El Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Independiente Medellín is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • El Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • El Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Independiente Medellín have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - El Nacional were as follows:
    22.02.2023 El Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
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    It is being streamed on channel
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