El Nacional vs Barcelona Guayaquil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 24
  • Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.05
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
33
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
00
Passes
81% (79/97)86% (125/145)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.31
Total shots
33
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
12
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
00
Touches in opposition box
37
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
36
Passes
81% (79/97)86% (125/145)
Long passes
50% (9/18)29% (2/7)
Passes in final third
66% (19/29)65% (17/26)
Crosses
0% (0/6)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.070.15
Throw-ins
93
Fouls
53
Tackles
67% (2/3)100% (2/2)
Duels won
916
Clearances
23
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.310.73
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Corozo J. , Parrales M. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Borja F. , Reasco D. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 2, Parrales M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Borja J. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 46', Mejia Moreira J. D. , Branda V. ,
  • 58', Hernandez B. , Maya J. ,
  • 59', Velez C. , Borja F. ,
  • 64', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
  • 65', Oyola B. , Castillo Segura B. D. ,
  • 73', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. , Arroyo D. ,
  • 73', Parrales M. , Solano C. ,
  • 82', Flor F. , Mazamba S. ,
  • 90', Valiente J. , Guerra F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


El Nacional
28.9%
Draw
29.5%
Barcelona Guayaquil
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.5% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 29.8% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.97)
    3.11
    (3.19)
    2.23
    (2.43)
    8.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Barcelona will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional 1:0
    26.02.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional 1:1
    19.02.2025 El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1
    16.11.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional 6:0
    05.10.2024 El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:0
    Latest results of El Nacional
    19.07.2025 Orense - El Nacional 1:1
    14.07.2025 SD Aucas - El Nacional 1:0
    06.07.2025 El Nacional - Manta 1:0
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle25158245:202553
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito25128541:241744
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6Aucas261151035:37-238
    7Orense25115927:29-238
    8U. Catolica2599746:331336
    9Emelec2598824:28-435
    10Macara26791025:27-230
    11EL Nacional25771130:35-528
    12Delfin25610924:37-1328
    13Tecnico U25671224:35-1125
    14Manta265101131:43-1225
    15Vinotinto26661429:37-824
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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