Barcelona Guayaquil vs El Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional
Result
1:0
18/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 9
Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.72
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (340/400)72% (164/229)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.26
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2611
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
85% (340/400)72% (164/229)
Long passes
56% (22/39)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
66% (71/107)45% (34/75)
Crosses
24% (4/17)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.37
Fouls
1112
Tackles
87% (13/15)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4740
Clearances Total
3124
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.260.69
Goals prevented
0.26-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Hernandez B. , Montano M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Rivero O. , Corozo J. (A),
  • 68', Velez C. , Olmedo M. ,
  • 68', Guisamano J. , Chala J. ,
  • 68', Ledesma A. , Pazmino D. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. , Solano C. ,
  • 74', Arroyo D. , Castillo Segura B. D. ,
  • 75', Corozo J. , Souza de Almeida L. ,
  • 83', Cela A. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 86', Jesus Trindade , Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ,
  • 86', Valiente J. , Cortez Casierra G. J. ,

Chances of winning


Barcelona Guayaquil
62.8%
Draw
22%
El Nacional
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 23.4% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 22.9% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • The chances for El Nacional have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The ML Model estimate for Barcelona Guayaquil aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.51)
    4.21
    (3.96)
    6.12
    (6.08)
    8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 3.
    • Barcelona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • El Nacional is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35:26 (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:9 (average 2.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional 1:1
    19.02.2025 El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1
    16.11.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional 6:0
    05.10.2024 El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:0
    18.04.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional 1:0
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle20117237:181940
    2LDU Quito20106435:191636
    3Barcelona SC20105532:25735
    4Dep. Cuenca20103724:18633
    5Orense20103723:23033
    6Libertad2086630:26430
    7Aucas1985626:24229
    8Delfin2068620:28-826
    9U. Catolica2067731:28325
    10Vinotinto2065926:26023
    11EL Nacional1965823:28-523
    12Manta2058727:33-623
    13Macara2057819:20-122
    14Emelec2057815:24-922
    15Mushuc Runa20451124:37-1317
    16Tecnico U20271118:33-1513

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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