Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Malunga Y. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Lungu A. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, Chirwa C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
MAFCO 46% | Draw 30.8% | Ekhaya 23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MAFCO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MAFCO's performance.Ekhaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekhaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MAFCO than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MAFCO that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekhaya than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekhaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MAFCO - Ekhaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↓ (2.62) |
3.36 ↑ (2.9) |
4.45 ↑ (2.6) |
-3.2% (11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).
- MAFCO is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ekhaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- MAFCO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, MAFCO won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has MAFCO won against Ekhaya?
MAFCO has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ekhaya won against MAFCO?
Ekhaya has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MAFCO - Ekhaya were as follows:
09.08.2025
Ekhaya
-
MAFCO
1:0
Malawi Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Big Bullets | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 41:9 | 32 | 43 |
2 | Mighty Wanderers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 39 |
3 | Silver Strikers | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 27:11 | 16 | 36 |
4 | Karonga United | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Civo Utd | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 21:9 | 12 | 30 |
6 | Ekhaya | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 18:14 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 25 |
8 | Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Chitipa United | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 22 |
10 | MAFCO | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 21 |
11 | Creck Sporting | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 21 |
12 | Dedza Dynamos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Moyale Barracks | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Mighty Tigers | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12:20 | -8 | 16 |
15 | Mzuzu City | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14:32 | -18 | 15 |
16 | Songwe Border | 18 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6:47 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
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