Result
2:0
20/03/2026 at 18:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (21/28) | 66% (23/35) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 29% (4/14) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/1 | 3/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (12/35) | 25% (7/28) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 36% (8/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/7 | 1/1 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (34/49) | 55% (26/47) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 31% (15/49) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (55/96) | 43% (41/96) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova 67.2% | Lilli Tagger 32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Lilli Tagger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lilli Tagger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.48) |
|
2.89 ↑ (2.53) |
4.8% (7.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lilli Tagger?
- Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tagger will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 19% – 81%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH -2.5 Games - Tagger (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5 Games - Tagger (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -3.5 Games - Tagger (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Tagger (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilli Tagger will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tagger (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Tagger is ranked WTA: 115.
- Recent form of Alexandrova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tagger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alexandrova might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Lilli Tagger?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lilli Tagger won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Lilli Tagger has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lilli Tagger were as follows:
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Lilli Tagger
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Li A. | Birrell K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | McNally C. | Masarova R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Wang Xin. (29) | |
| 5 | Zheng Q. (23) | Bye | |
| 6 | Brady J. (WC) | Stephens S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruse G. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Keys M. (15) | |
| 9 | Svitolina E. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Jones E. (WC) | Fruhvirtova L. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Baptiste H. | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Samsonova L. (19) | |
| 13 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Yastremska D. | Krueger A. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Sun L. (Q) | Townsend T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 17 | Rybakina E. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Tjen J. | Putintseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Sierra S. | Rakhimova K. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (27) | |
| 21 | Jovic I. (18) | Bye | |
| 22 | Badosa P. | Sasnovich A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Bejlek S. | Gibson T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Osaka N. (16) | |
| 25 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tagger L. (WC) | Seidel E. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Golubic V. (Q) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Cristian J. (34) | |
| 29 | Fernandez L. (26) | Bye | |
| 30 | Arango E. | Selekhmeteva O. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Jones F. | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Pegula J. (5) | |
| 33 | Anisimova A. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Waltert S. | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Lys E. | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Bucsa C. (30) | |
| 37 | Shnaider D. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Valentova T. | Volynets K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Sonmez Z. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Bencic B. (12) | |
| 41 | Noskova L. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Zhang S. | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Galfi D. (Alt) | Kalieva E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Mertens E. (21) | |
| 45 | Sakkari M. (33) | Bye | |
| 46 | Parks A. | Kraus S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Semenistaja D. (LL) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Gauff C. (4) | |
| 49 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Kessler M. | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Vidmanova D. (WC) | Jacquemot E. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Bouzkova M. (32) | |
| 53 | Kalinskaya A. (22) | Bye | |
| 54 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Bondar A. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Kenin S. | Blinkova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mboko V. (10) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Siniakova K. | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Boulter K. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Tauson C. (17) | |
| 61 | Eala A. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | Siegemund L. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Linette M. | Gracheva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | McNally C. | Wang Xin. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng Q. (23) | Stephens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ruse G. | Keys M. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svitolina E. (9) | Jones E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Baptiste H. | Samsonova L. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Yastremska D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Townsend T. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (3) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Rakhimova K. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jovic I. (18) | Badosa P. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Gibson T. | Osaka N. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Tagger L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stearns P. | Cristian J. (34) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. (26) | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jones F. (RET.) | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Anisimova A. (6) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Starodubtseva Y. | Bucsa C. (RET.) (30) | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Shnaider D. (20) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Sonmez Z. | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Noskova L. (14) | Cirstea S. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Kalieva E. | Mertens E. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Sakkari M. (33) | Parks A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Cocciaretto E. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (8) | Kessler M. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Jacquemot E. | Bouzkova M. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Kalinskaya A. (22) | Zakharova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Blinkova A. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (13) | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Boulter K. | Tauson C. (RET.) (17) | 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Eala A. (31) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Linette M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng Q. (23) | Keys M. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Svitolina E. (9) | Baptiste H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (3) | Kostyuk M. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jovic I. (18) | Gibson T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Cristian J. (34) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. (26) | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Anisimova A. (6) | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Shnaider D. (20) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Cirstea S. | Mertens E. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Parks A. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bouzkova M. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Zakharova A. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (13) | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Eala A. (31) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baptiste H. | Ostapenko J. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (3) | Gibson T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cristian J. (34) | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Anisimova A. (6) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cirstea S. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Andreeva M. (8) | Mboko V. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (13) | Eala A. (31) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rybakina E. (3) | Pegula J. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bencic B. (12) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Mboko V. (10) | Muchova K. (13) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Muchova K. (13) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Gauff C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
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