Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elise Mertens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Doha Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens
Result
2:0
12/02/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/8-finals
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
53%61%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (17/24)61% (19/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
71% (15/21)50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
42% (13/31)33% (8/24)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)29% (6/21)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
71% (32/45)55% (28/51)
Return Points Won
45% (23/51)29% (13/45)
Total Points Won
57% (55/96)43% (41/96)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Ekaterina Alexandrova
39.8%
Elise Mertens
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Alexandrova's form might have worsened.
  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.74)

    1.58
    (2.1)
    5%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 26. Mertens is ranked WTA: 32.
    • Alexandrova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mertens in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Mertens will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Mertens to win the game is with odds 1.64.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Raducanu E. (WC)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    3Mertens E.Tauson C. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Bucsa C. (Q)Kalinskaya A. (14)2 : 1
    5Kasatkina D. (10)Kudermetova P. (LL)2 : 0
    6Avanesyan E.Wang Xin.2 : 1
    7Vondrousova M.Svitolina E.1 : 2
    8ByePegula J. (6)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Kostyuk M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    11Kudermetova V. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    12Frech M.Haddad Maia B. (13)2 : 1
    13Badosa P. (9)Zarazua R. (LL)2 : 1
    14Anisimova A.Azarenka V.2 : 0
    15Minnen G. (Q)Fernandez L.0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (8)
    17Zheng Q. (7)Bye
    18Kessler M.Jabeur O.0 : 2
    19Krueger A.Kenin S. (WC)0 : 2
    20Parks A. (Q)Shnaider D. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (16)Sun L.2 : 0
    22Ito A. (Q)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    23Yuan Y.Garcia C. (WC)0 : 2
    24ByePaolini J. (4)
    25Rybakina E. (5)Bye
    26Yastremska D.Stearns P.0 : 2
    27Kalinina A.Sramkova R.0 : 2
    28Volynets K. (Q)Andreeva M. (12)1 : 2
    29Vekic D. (15)Noskova L.0 : 2
    30Putintseva Y.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    31Sakkari M.Ruse G. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Alexandrova E.1 : 2
    2Mertens E.Bucsa C.2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D. (10)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    4Svitolina E.Pegula J. (6)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    6Linette M.Frech M.2 : 1
    7Badosa P. (9)Anisimova A.0 : 2
    8Fernandez L.Navarro E. (8)2 : 0
    9Zheng Q. (7)Jabeur O.0 : 2
    10Kenin S.Parks A.2 : 1
    11Samsonova L. (16)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    12Garcia C.Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (5)Stearns P.2 : 0
    14Sramkova R.Andreeva M. (12)2 : 1
    15Noskova L.Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alexandrova E.Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D. (10)Pegula J. (6)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M.Linette M.2 : 0
    4Anisimova A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    5Jabeur O.Kenin S.2 : 0
    6Ostapenko J.Paolini J. (4)2 : 0
    7Rybakina E. (5)Sramkova R.2 : 0
    8Noskova L.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (6)2 : 1
    2Kostyuk M.Anisimova A.1 : 2
    3Jabeur O.Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (5)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alexandrova E.Anisimova A.0 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Anisimova A.Ostapenko J.2 : 0
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