Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 76% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (32/50) | 48% (22/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 42% (15/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 33% (3/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 36% (18/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 69% (11/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (5/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 46% (38/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (44/82) | 44% (29/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (81/148) | 45% (67/148) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 40% (4/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova
59.9% | Darya Kasatkina
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.38 ↑
(2.19) |
4.9%
(9.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 14.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 3.
- Alexandrova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Kasatkina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Darya Kasatkina?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Darya Kasatkina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:
13.08.2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Darya Kasatkina
0:2
06.10.2022
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Darya Kasatkina
2:0
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Blinkova A. (Q) | Udvardy P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Arango E. (WC) | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Mertens E. (28) | |
| 5 | Putintseva Y. (22) | Bye | |
| 6 | Tomljanovic A. (WC) | Masarova R. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Stearns P. | Birrell K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Anisimova A. (15) | |
| 9 | Bucsa C. (LL) | Bye | |
| 10 | Kudermetova V. | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lamens S. | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (24) | |
| 13 | Kenin S. (32) | Bye | |
| 14 | Sun L. | Gracheva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Krueger A. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Zheng Q. (8) | |
| 17 | Pegula J. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Lys E. | Kostovic T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Uchijima M. | Montgomery R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Jabeur O. (26) | |
| 21 | Alexandrova E. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Azarenka V. | Danilovic O. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Parks A. | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (14) | |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Kessler M. | Andreescu B. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cristian J. | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Svitolina E. (17) | |
| 29 | Linette M. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Wang Xin. | Sakkari M. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Boulter K. | Siniakova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Paolini J. (6) | |
| 33 | Andreeva M. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Zarazua R. | Bouzkova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Frech M. (27) | |
| 37 | Samsonova L. (18) | Bye | |
| 38 | Avanesyan E. | Dolehide C. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | Fruhvirtova L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Cocciaretto E. (LL) | |
| 41 | Haddad Maia B. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Pera B. (LL) | Fett J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Bencic B. | Sonmez Z. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Tauson C. (20) | |
| 45 | Fernandez L. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Li A. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Jones F. (Q) | Yastremska D. | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Gauff C. (4) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Osaka N. | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Parry D. (Q) | Begu I. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (30) | |
| 53 | Vekic D. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Cirstea S. | Baptiste H. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 55 | Joint M. (Q) | Martinez Cirez C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Navarro E. (11) | |
| 57 | Shnaider D. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Volynets K. | Kvitova P. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Sevastova A. | Pavlyuchenkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (23) | |
| 61 | Noskova L. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | Carle M. L. (Q) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Tomova V. | Eala A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Blinkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osorio C. | Mertens E. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Putintseva Y. (22) | Masarova R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Stearns P. | Anisimova A. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Bucsa C. | Kudermetova V. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Raducanu E. | Kostyuk M. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Kenin S. (32) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Potapova A. | Zheng Q. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (3) | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Uchijima M. | Jabeur O. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Alexandrova E. (21) | Danilovic O. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Parks A. | Kasatkina D. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (10) | Andreescu B. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kartal S. | Svitolina E. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Linette M. (29) | Sakkari M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Boulter K. | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (7) | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Frech M. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Samsonova L. (18) | Dolehide C. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Starodubtseva Y. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Haddad Maia B. (16) | Pera B. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bencic B. | Tauson C. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Fernandez L. (25) | Li A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Yastremska D. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (5) | Bronzetti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Parry D. | Kalinskaya A. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Vekic D. (19) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Joint M. | Navarro E. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Shnaider D. (13) | Volynets K. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Sevastova A. | Ostapenko J. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Noskova L. (31) | Carle M. L. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Eala A. | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mertens E. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Masarova R. | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kudermetova V. | Kostyuk M. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Kenin S. (32) | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (3) | Uchijima M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Alexandrova E. (21) | Kasatkina D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (10) | Svitolina E. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sakkari M. | Paolini J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (7) | Frech M. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Samsonova L. (18) | Starodubtseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Haddad Maia B. (16) | Bencic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Li A. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Keys M. (5) | Kalinskaya A. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Vekic D. (19) | Navarro E. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Shnaider D. (13) | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Noskova L. (31) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Uchijima M. | Alexandrova E. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (17) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (7) | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bencic B. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Keys M. (5) | Vekic D. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Shnaider D. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kostyuk M. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Uchijima M. | Svitolina E. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (7) | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Keys M. (5) | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Svitolina E. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Gauff C. (4) | 2 : 0 |
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