São Luiz vs EC São José Porto Alegre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre
Result
1:2
30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 10
São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
610
Corner Kicks
114
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
114
Goalkeeper Saves
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Nonato ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Da Silva ,

Chances of winning


São Luiz
39.7%
Draw
30.2%
EC São José Porto Alegre
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.1% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 28.1% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.55)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    3.01
    (2.45)
    10.5%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Luiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Luiz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 0.
    • São Luiz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • EC São José is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:
    18.05.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 3:0
    25.01.2025 São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:1
    20.01.2024 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 1:1
    27.02.2023 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 1:0
    Latest results of São Luiz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia
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