Dynamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow
Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 28
  • Referee: Sukhoy Vasilievich A. (Rus)
Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.12
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
73% (238/324)88% (454/517)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.64
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
610
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
73% (238/324)88% (454/517)
Long passes
43% (25/58)61% (22/36)
Passes in final third
69% (56/81)82% (125/153)
Crosses
43% (3/7)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.88
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
1512
Tackles
52% (11/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2511
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.641.87
Goals prevented
0.64-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Reabciuk O. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Carrascal J. (Pen),
  • 22', Barco E. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Glebov D. , Carrascal J. (A),
  • 39', Duarte A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bongonda T. , Garcia L. ,
  • 46', Prutsev D. , Martins Pereira C. ,
  • 49', Caceres J. 🟨,
  • 52', Khlusevich D. 🟨,
  • 69', Carrascal J. , Maouhoub E. ,
  • 70', Moumi Ngamaleu N. 🟨,
  • 75', Moumi Ngamaleu N. , Skopintsev D. ,
  • 75', Ugalde M. , Ignatov M. ,
  • 75', Marquinhos , Solari P. ,
  • 87', Barco E. , Zobnin R. ,
  • 90', Gladyshev Y. , Makarov D. ,
  • 90+1', Bitello , Aleksandrov D. ,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Moscow
34.5%
Draw
26%
Spartak Moscow
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 25.5% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 25.6% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Dynamo Moscow aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.86)
    3.72
    (3.86)
    2.45
    (2.46)
    3.4%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Spartak M will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 0.
    • Dynamo M has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spartak M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Injury) Carrascal J. (Red Card) Tyukavin K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Spartak M: Litvinov R. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:1
    07.02.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow 0:1
    02.10.2024 Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow 2:3
    22.09.2024 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:2
    31.07.2024 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 3:0
    Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
    Latest results of Spartak Moscow
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    russiaRussiaMatch TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
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