Bastia vs Dunkerque: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Bastia - Dunkerque
Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 28
  • Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
Bastia - Dunkerque - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.67
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
69% (188/272)83% (412/496)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.09
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2014
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
69% (188/272)83% (412/496)
Long passes
45% (32/71)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
58% (56/96)60% (60/100)
Crosses
8% (1/13)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.55
Fouls
1315
Tackles
82% (9/11)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5041
Clearances Total
3017
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.090.61
Goals prevented
0.09-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Vincent C. ,
  • 8', Janneh J. 🟨,
  • 22', Raghouber U. 🟨,
  • 32', Bammou Y. 🟨,
  • 43', Akueson G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Rivera M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 56', Ariss Z. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 66', Sebas J. , Ble M. ,
  • 67', Cisse L. , Tramoni L. ,
  • 67', Courtet G. , Yassine G. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Ble M. , Ducrocq T. (A),
  • 77', Abner F. 🟨,
  • 78', Bardeli E. , Al Saad M. ,
  • 78', Skytta N. , Sekongo A. ,
  • 84', Boutrah A. , Maggiotti J. ,
  • 84', Janneh J. , Roncaglia A. ,
  • 90', Maggiotti J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bastia
43.5%
Draw
30.3%
Dunkerque
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 30% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 31.1% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Bastia - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.1)
    3.08
    (3.11)
    3.6
    (3.65)
    6.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 23.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bastia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Guevara J. (Injury) Inao Oulai C. (Yellow Cards) Maggiotti J. (Injury) Mazikou S. (Injury) Tomi F. (Injury) Tramoni L. (Inactive)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Dunkerque were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Dunkerque - Bastia 2:1
    06.04.2024 Bastia - Dunkerque 1:1
    05.12.2023 Dunkerque - Bastia 0:5
    Latest results of Bastia
    15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    14.02.2025 Clermont - Bastia 1:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3
    10.03.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 5:1
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    26.02.2025 Brest - Dunkerque 2:3
    21.02.2025 Dunkerque - Clermont 3:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Dunkerque?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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