Ards vs Dungannon Swifts: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Northern Irish League Cup Ards - Dungannon Swifts
Result
1:2 penalties
08/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Irish League Cup - 1/16-finals
Ards - Dungannon Swifts - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 93', 1 - 0, Scannell E. ,
  • 105', 1 - 1, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ards
19.6%
Draw
27.3%
Dungannon Swifts
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.9% 22.7% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 22.4% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dungannon Swifts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dungannon Swifts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ards - Dungannon Swifts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.85
    (5.05)
    3.37
    (4)
    1.84
    (1.53)
    4.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, Dungannon is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ards won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ards - Dungannon Swifts were as follows:
    07.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts - Ards 3:1
    Latest results of Ards
    04.10.2025 Newington - Ards 0:3
    27.09.2025 Loughgall - Ards 1:1
    20.09.2025 Ards - Armagh City 2:1
    Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1ArmaghBye
    2ByeCarrick Rangers
    3BallymenaBye
    4ByeBallinamallard
    5Bangor FCBye
    6Lisburn DistilleryBanbridge3 : 2
    7CliftonvilleBye
    8BallyclareCoagh Utd1 : 2
    9CrusadersBye
    10Oxford Sunnyside FCBallymacash1 : 5
    11DergviewRathfriland3 : 1
    12ByeLarne
    13DollingstownBye
    14ByeColeraine
    15H&W WeldersBye
    16ByeDundela
    17InstituteBye
    18ByeGlentoran
    19LinfieldBye
    20ByeQueens Univ.
    21LoughgallBye
    22ByeStrabane Athletic
    23MoyolaPortstewart5 : 3
    24ByeAnnagh
    25NewingtonBye
    26ByeLimavady
    27Newry CityKnockbreda3 : 0
    28ByePortadown
    29WarrenpointBye
    30ByeGlenavon
    31ArdsBye
    32ByeDungannon

    1/16-finals
    1ArmaghCarrick Rangers3 : 2
    2BallymenaBallinamallard1 : 0
    3Bangor FCLisburn Distillery4 : 1
    4CliftonvilleCoagh Utd4 : 1
    5CrusadersBallymacash3 : 1
    6DergviewLarne3 : 7
    7DollingstownColeraine0 : 8
    8H&W WeldersDundela6 : 0
    9InstituteGlentoran0 : 1
    10LinfieldQueens Univ.2 : 0
    11LoughgallStrabane Athletic2 : 3
    12MoyolaAnnagh3 : 0
    13NewingtonLimavady3 : 1
    14Newry CityPortadown1 : 0
    15WarrenpointGlenavon0 : 2
    16ArdsDungannon1 : 2
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