Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

: Championship - Round 31
Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	2
Shots on target
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
0	1
Total shots
12	2
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
8	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Young C. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, McLennan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
61', McAllister N. 🟨,
64', Hamilton C. ↓, Wanyama V. ↑,
65', McCann L. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Murphy J. ⚽,
71', Henderson J. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
72', Murphy J. ↓, Rus M. ↑,
78', Main C. ↓, Oakley G. ↑,
81', Chalmers J. 🟨,
84', Wanyama V. 🟥,
85', Hastie J. ↓, Reading P. ↑,
85', McLennan C. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Walker E. ⚽, Watret D. (A),

Chances of winning

Ayr United
50.3%

Draw
28.3%

Dunfermline Athletic
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

25.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.32 ↓ (3.6)	4.34 ↓ (5)	7.4% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic?

Users Predictions: Ayr United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2.
Recent matches Ayr is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Dunfermline is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Dunfermline could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ayr is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ayr won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:21 (average 1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Dunfermline Athletic?

Ayr United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dunfermline Athletic won against Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic were as follows:

14.01.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 0:2

23.11.2024 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 1:0

31.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 1:1

03.05.2024 Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic 3:3

02.03.2024 Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United 2:0

Latest results of Ayr United

22.03.2025 Ayr United - Hamilton Academical 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Dunfermline Athletic

14.03.2025 Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Falkirk - Dunfermline Athletic 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park 0:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Arbroath	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
3	Dunfermline	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
4	Raith	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
5	Morton	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
6	Ross County	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
7	Ayr	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
8	Airdrieonians	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
9	Queen's Park	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
10	Partick Thistle	2	0	1	1	2:6	-4	1

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media