Result
1:1
17/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 38
- Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (348/445) | 81% (393/487) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (348/445) | 81% (393/487) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (14/44) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (87/138) | 61% (52/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/26) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Cleall-Harding S. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Sapsford Z. ⚽, Watters M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', O'Hara M. ↓, Devaney J. ↑,
- 46', Freckleton M. ↓, Falconer T. ↑,
- 59', Watters M. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 59', Cleall-Harding S. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
- 60', Strain R. 🟨,
- 66', Tanser S. ↓, Calvin J. ↑,
- 66', Fraser M. ↓, King R. ↑,
- 66', Strain R. ↓, Constable S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Young J. ⚽, King R. (A),
- 74', Sibbald C. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 74', Sapsford Z. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
- 85', Douglas L. ↓, McMillan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
41.2% | Draw
26.9% | Dundee United
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
St. Mirren - Dundee United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.07) |
3.51 ↑
(3.5) |
2.95 ↓
(3.27) |
5.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Dundee United?
- Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +1.5 - Dundee Utd (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
- St. Mirren is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dundee Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Mirren might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Injury)
Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Groin Injury)
George S.
(Injury)
John D.
(Inactive)
Mullen R.
(Injury)
N'Lundulu D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Fatah A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maynard-Brewer A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Stephenson L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Trapanovski K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Dundee United?
St. Mirren has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against St. Mirren?
Dundee United has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Dundee United were as follows:
03.03.2026
Dundee United
-
St. Mirren
2:1
06.12.2025
St. Mirren
-
Dundee United
2:0
25.10.2025
Dundee United
-
St. Mirren
3:1
10.05.2025
Dundee United
-
St. Mirren
0:2
11.01.2025
St. Mirren
-
Dundee United
0:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Dundee United
Scottish Premier League Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
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