Dundee United vs Aberdeen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Dundee United - Aberdeen
Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 3
  • Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
Dundee United - Aberdeen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.811.24
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
73% (244/336)79% (357/450)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.811.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.14
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
73% (244/336)79% (357/450)
Long passes
38% (25/65)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
56% (77/137)66% (80/121)
Crosses
20% (5/25)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.68
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
1111
Tackles
75% (12/16)53% (8/15)
Duels won
6058
Clearances
3325
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.142.58
Goals prevented
0.140.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Sapsford Z. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Dolcek I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dorrington A. , Milne J. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Esselink B. , Sevelj V. (A),
  • 66', Nisbet K. , Yengi K. ,
  • 67', Polvara D. , Bilalovic K. ,
  • 67', Nilsen S. , Aouchiche A. ,
  • 74', Iovu I. , Sibbald C. ,
  • 77', Fatah A. , Moller N. ,
  • 83', Camara P. , Eskesen J. ,
  • 83', Dolcek I. , Naamo D. ,
  • 86', Milanovic N. , Keskinen T. ,
  • 90+2', Sevelj V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Yengi K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dundee United
46.7%
Draw
29.1%
Aberdeen
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.1% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 26.7% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dundee United's performance.
  • Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundee United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dundee United - Aberdeen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.42)
    3.57
    (3.45)
    4.64
    (2.72)
    -4.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dundee United - Aberdeen?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Dundee Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aberdeen has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R. (Muscle Injury) Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Sevelj V. (Red Card) Strain R. (Hamstring Injury) Trapanovski K. (Hamstring Injury) Watters M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Aberdeen were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Dundee United - Aberdeen 2:1
    02.03.2025 Aberdeen - Dundee United 2:2
    29.12.2024 Dundee United - Aberdeen 1:0
    26.10.2024 Aberdeen - Dundee United 1:0
    04.03.2023 Dundee United - Aberdeen 1:3
    Latest results of Dundee United
    13.09.2025 Hibernian - Dundee United 3:3
    31.08.2025 Dundee - Dundee United 0:2
    17.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 2:1
    14.08.2025 Dundee United - Rapid Wien 2:3
    10.08.2025 Dundee United - Hearts 2:3
    Latest results of Aberdeen
    20.09.2025 Aberdeen - Motherwell 0:1
    13.09.2025 Aberdeen - Livingston 0:0
    31.08.2025 Aberdeen - Falkirk 0:1
    28.08.2025 FCSB - Aberdeen 3:0
    21.08.2025 Aberdeen - FCSB 2:2
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts761016:61019
    2Celtic752011:3817
    3Kilmarnock724111:8310
    4Dundee Utd723212:1119
    5St. Mirren72325:6-19
    6Motherwell715111:1018
    7Hibernian715110:1008
    8Rangers71516:7-18
    9Livingston813410:14-46
    10Falkirk71338:13-56
    11Dundee FC81346:13-76
    12Aberdeen71154:9-54

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
          Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Dundee United - Aberdeen?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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